{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80315558-d919-410c-af0b-3be208eb347e", "symbol": "002986", "name": "Guangdong Yussen Energy Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 75.417, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.803, "architecture_energy": 32.748, "architecture_maturity": 23.064, "architecture_confidence": 67.085, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.68, "rotation_up": 23.22, "upward_expansion": 10.89, "deceleration": 58.0, "rotation_down": 40.04, "downward_expansion": 67.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.922667, 11.910727, 12.321905, 12.850194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.29, "trend_reference": 13.157667, "distance_from_trend": -0.065944, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.689368, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031473, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.734874, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.019154, "excess_performance": -0.026554, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.065944, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026392, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.031473, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056745, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.037349, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056714, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.019154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.920403, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22949287, "relative_activity": 0.740701, "balance": 0.920403, "dry_up": 1.205843, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085248, "annualized_volatility": 0.395246, "from_high_reference": -0.325466, "from_low_reference": 0.203722 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.157667, "fair_value_reference": 12.689368, "structural_low": 10.86, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.01101, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.012398, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.225962, "worst_return": -0.2024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.016995, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.03362, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.392755, "worst_return": -0.226802, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006974, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.134801, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.380108, "worst_return": -0.162733, 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"typical_volume": 41543442.3, "trend": 13.069, "fair_value": 12.769722, "relative_strength": -7.314094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.931008, "energy": 40.123532, "activity_lines": [ 11.813333, 11.824909, 12.536952, 12.979591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.88, "volume": 21683823, "typical_volume": 32861855.55, "trend": 13.106667, "fair_value": 12.727178, "relative_strength": -2.607782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.136514, "energy": 37.838904, "activity_lines": [ 11.787333, 11.822545, 12.39919, 12.902882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.29, "volume": 22949287, "typical_volume": 30983211.7, "trend": 13.157667, "fair_value": 12.689368, "relative_strength": -3.734874, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.802566, "energy": 32.748269, "activity_lines": [ 11.922667, 11.910727, 12.321905, 12.850194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }