{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8032c3b0-478d-436e-8203-b0490d3d421f",
    "symbol": "301043",
    "name": "Guangdong Nedfon Air System Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.333,
    "architecture_energy": 57.528,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.776,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.525,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.81,
        "rotation_up": 15.62,
        "upward_expansion": 13.47,
        "deceleration": 38.47,
        "rotation_down": 62.5,
        "downward_expansion": 82.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.074,
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        45.886261,
        48.628598
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 42.869999,
    "trend_reference": 53.400368,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.197197,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 34.618915,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.23834,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.138724,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.393625,
    "excess_performance": -0.401025,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.197197,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044563,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.23834,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.465726,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171387,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180319,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.393625,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.166256,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4511500,
      "relative_activity": 0.961641,
      "balance": 0.166256,
      "dry_up": 1.151463,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.164872,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.545258,
      "from_high_reference": -0.479519,
      "from_low_reference": 0.336347
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.400368,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.618915,
      "structural_low": 32.080002,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.010228,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010648,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.281046,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.25,
        "worst_return": -0.130592,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.113056,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037915,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.010846,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.228447,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-21",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
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        "return": 0.164461,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 4980248.75,
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        "fair_value": 34.404132,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -69.034564,
        "energy": 38.134291,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.73,
        "volume": 7304146,
        "typical_volume": 5017192.75,
        "trend": 55.051806,
        "fair_value": 34.467864,
        "relative_strength": -22.413854,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.564273,
        "energy": 42.096006,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.5,
        "volume": 4373119,
        "typical_volume": 4926740.5,
        "trend": 54.134537,
        "fair_value": 34.525338,
        "relative_strength": -21.657795,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.45672,
        "energy": 57.389689,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.869999,
        "volume": 4511500,
        "typical_volume": 4691460.25,
        "trend": 53.400368,
        "fair_value": 34.618915,
        "relative_strength": -17.138724,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.332929,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}