{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8038ce83-c45b-4fc9-b619-dbbb12510eba", "symbol": "RACE", "name": "Race Eco Chain Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.869, "architecture_energy": 38.165, "architecture_maturity": 17.647, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.97, "rotation_up": 18.45, "upward_expansion": 5.06, "deceleration": 46.56, "rotation_down": 55.93, "downward_expansion": 80.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 109.371333, 109.971636, 113.091619, 113.744903 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 108.760002, "trend_reference": 113.955, "distance_from_trend": -0.045588, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 268.61109, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.595102, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.824822, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.047885, "excess_performance": 0.091594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045588, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117986, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.595102, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045245, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258248, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026005, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047885, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.214165, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33213, "relative_activity": 0.438607, "balance": 0.214165, "dry_up": 0.357038, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063266, "annualized_volatility": 0.493064, "from_high_reference": -0.568413, "from_low_reference": 0.293069 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 113.955, "fair_value_reference": 268.61109, "structural_low": 84.110001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.060069, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.057517, "regime_survival": 0.95, "best_return": 0.331864, "worst_return": -0.284971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.157263, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.174699, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": -0.048889, "worst_return": -0.352495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.312763, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.325943, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": -0.296869, "worst_return": -0.38733, "sufficient": false }, { 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38.165244, "activity_lines": [ 109.371333, 109.971636, 113.091619, 113.744903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }