{ "ticker": { "uuid": "803e4585-30a9-40fc-83b7-7e45f0b64485", "symbol": "GILLETTE", "name": "Gillette India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.277, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.901, "architecture_energy": 25.991, "architecture_maturity": 33.8, "architecture_confidence": 86.768, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.23, "rotation_up": 20.33, "upward_expansion": 2.26, "deceleration": 52.04, "rotation_down": 43.42, "downward_expansion": 73.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 7724.266667, 7735.418182, 7786.7, 7843.190675 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7683.5, "trend_reference": 7944.483936, "distance_from_trend": -0.032851, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7836.268552, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.019495, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.460616, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.118561, "excess_performance": -0.074852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032851, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016092, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.019495, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093799, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074606, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021585, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.118561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.922038, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73910, "relative_activity": 0.723114, "balance": 0.922038, "dry_up": 0.958107, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037428, "annualized_volatility": 0.170845, "from_high_reference": -0.269738, "from_low_reference": 0.066264 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7944.483936, "fair_value_reference": 7836.268552, "structural_low": 7206.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.001774, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.002872, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.157591, "worst_return": -0.104465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.013179, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005152, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.240198, "worst_return": -0.080272, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.255484, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.129782, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.302312, "worst_return": -0.050345, 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.107495, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076361, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089936, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.045307, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.095162, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", 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"fair_value": 7820.239574, "relative_strength": -7.978573, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.418312, "energy": 24.776077, "activity_lines": [ 7744.3, 7752.436364, 7798.945238, 7860.14947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7683.5, "volume": 73910, "typical_volume": 102210.7, "trend": 7944.483936, "fair_value": 7836.268552, "relative_strength": -7.460616, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.901378, "energy": 25.990817, "activity_lines": [ 7724.266667, 7735.418182, 7786.7, 7843.190675 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }