{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8041ef92-7b32-45eb-b713-d4f55b33f930", "symbol": "GIG-SDB", "name": "GiG Software p.l.c.", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.882, "architecture_energy": 40.246, "architecture_maturity": 84.796, "architecture_confidence": 82.97, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.12, "rotation_up": 27.03, "upward_expansion": 5.52, "deceleration": 59.42, "rotation_down": 46.04, "downward_expansion": 78.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.981333, 2.011091, 2.138286, 2.392172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.9, "trend_reference": 2.7245, "distance_from_trend": -0.302624, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.424794, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.570601, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.174437, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.386107, "excess_performance": -0.447601, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.302624, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.272238, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.570601, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082421, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.581744, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010262, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.386107, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.161813, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108979, "relative_activity": 0.278352, "balance": 2.161813, "dry_up": 1.171928, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.213765, "annualized_volatility": 0.707796, "from_high_reference": -0.746667, "from_low_reference": 0.206349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.7245, "fair_value_reference": 4.424794, "structural_low": 1.575, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071841, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.092783, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.057143, "worst_return": -0.199346, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.352941, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.374768, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.352941, "worst_return": -0.352941, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.379085, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 5.0, "volume": 4062952, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 4.5, "volume": 1106074, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.099248, "energy": 42.67748, "activity_lines": [ 2.043333, 2.067455, 2.231571, 2.509151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.99, "volume": 38013, "typical_volume": 395739.95, "trend": 2.802833, "fair_value": 4.451094, "relative_strength": -56.404269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.587073, "energy": 39.368173, "activity_lines": [ 2.034667, 2.045091, 2.185405, 2.450419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.9, "volume": 108979, "typical_volume": 391515.6, "trend": 2.7245, "fair_value": 4.424794, "relative_strength": -58.174437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.881627, "energy": 40.246267, "activity_lines": [ 1.981333, 2.011091, 2.138286, 2.392172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }