{ "ticker": { "uuid": "805db3c3-4fa9-4d00-a216-faf92dc20248", "symbol": "VTR", "name": "Ventas, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.142, "architecture_energy": 91.627, "architecture_maturity": 18.347, "architecture_confidence": 74.081, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.84, "rotation_up": 86.26, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1660.165356, 1599.138679, 1541.593958, 1511.435471 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 1668.900024, "trend_reference": 1477.77171, "distance_from_trend": 0.129335, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1213.44304, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.375343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.94662, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.168902, "excess_performance": 0.223569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.129335, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05384, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.375343, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111589, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.169466, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.182509, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.168902, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.352773, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.352773, "dry_up": 3.451351, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020928, "annualized_volatility": 0.201865, "from_high_reference": -0.010084, "from_low_reference": 0.331942 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1477.77171, "fair_value_reference": 1213.44304, "structural_low": 1422.765385, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.275862, "directional_follow_through": 0.275862, "median_excess_return": -0.018265, "regime_survival": 0.655172, "best_return": 0.077599, "worst_return": -0.133984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.000364, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.073933, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.180379, "worst_return": -0.133586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.053408, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.007492, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.227912, "worst_return": -0.133242, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": 19.285015, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.537229, "energy": 96.779196, "activity_lines": [ 1557.946117, 1514.454571, 1487.241826, 1471.330249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1668.900024, "volume": 3215, "typical_volume": 283.15, "trend": 1461.695042, "fair_value": 1204.560098, "relative_strength": 18.316351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.218548, "energy": 97.368864, "activity_lines": [ 1606.824715, 1545.847099, 1506.507537, 1485.217947 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1668.900024, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.15, "trend": 1469.733376, "fair_value": 1209.001569, "relative_strength": 17.168075, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.206367, "energy": 95.8197, "activity_lines": [ 1639.29602, 1573.7049, 1524.624914, 1498.58601 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1668.900024, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.15, "trend": 1477.77171, "fair_value": 1213.44304, "relative_strength": 16.94662, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.141633, "energy": 91.626522, "activity_lines": [ 1660.165356, 1599.138679, 1541.593958, 1511.435471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }