{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8066a701-67ae-4013-b9a8-5b1a1b85b921",
    "symbol": "GCAP",
    "name": "G Capital Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 64.966,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -40.172,
    "architecture_energy": 23.287,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.611,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.691,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.48,
        "rotation_up": 20.23,
        "upward_expansion": 4.51,
        "deceleration": 44.84,
        "rotation_down": 44.34,
        "downward_expansion": 73.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.251333,
        0.253273,
        0.254238,
        0.25671
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.26,
    "trend_reference": 0.262,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.007634,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.416859,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.376288,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -24.903767,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.037037,
    "excess_performance": -0.229362,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007634,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047273,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.376288,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073448,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.249038,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015042,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037037,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.73161,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1851100,
      "relative_activity": 0.762736,
      "balance": 2.73161,
      "dry_up": 1.049406,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.085799,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.383273,
      "from_high_reference": -0.469388,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130435
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.262,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.416859,
      "structural_low": 0.23,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.00885,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02605,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.134921,
        "worst_return": -0.1,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.028862,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016579,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.233333,
        "worst_return": -0.131818,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.056911,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.122537,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.054545,
        "worst_return": -0.066667,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.349593,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.488751,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.166667,
        "worst_return": -0.485027,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-04-28",
        "end": "2023-04-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-05",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.495495,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.137931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.291667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.147059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.033333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.107143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 5842715.0,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1066800,
        "typical_volume": 2367650.0,
        "trend": 0.266333,
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        "relative_strength": -30.558703,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 21.272557,
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          0.253333,
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          0.255905,
          0.259505
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.24,
        "volume": 2034800,
        "typical_volume": 2238495.0,
        "trend": 0.264333,
        "fair_value": 0.424551,
        "relative_strength": -32.935454,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.356191,
        "energy": 41.184561,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.248667,
          0.253455,
          0.254286,
          0.257806
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.25,
        "volume": 5234600,
        "typical_volume": 2409255.0,
        "trend": 0.262667,
        "fair_value": 0.420449,
        "relative_strength": -28.770899,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.291671,
        "energy": 38.130969,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.248,
          0.252545,
          0.253762,
          0.256882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.26,
        "volume": 1851100,
        "typical_volume": 2426920.0,
        "trend": 0.262,
        "fair_value": 0.416859,
        "relative_strength": -24.903767,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.171602,
        "energy": 23.28711,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.251333,
          0.253273,
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          0.25671
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}