{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80788667-f136-41f8-a7e0-0bc202b5f404", "symbol": "6189", "name": "Promate Electronic Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 88.525, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.566, "architecture_energy": 14.665, "architecture_maturity": 40.776, "architecture_confidence": 75.317, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.56, "rotation_up": 20.77, "upward_expansion": 50.57, "deceleration": 92.18, "rotation_down": 30.52, "downward_expansion": 18.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.473334, 49.21208, 49.063319, 47.984758 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 48.900002, "trend_reference": 46.570893, "distance_from_trend": 0.050012, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 51.68144, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053819, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.436382, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.02393, "excess_performance": -0.417442, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050012, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054813, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.053819, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032083, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244364, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124589, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02393, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.422939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2225461, "relative_activity": 0.340583, "balance": 1.422939, "dry_up": 0.392898, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087288, "annualized_volatility": 0.292618, "from_high_reference": -0.1487, "from_low_reference": 0.247062 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.570893, "fair_value_reference": 51.68144, "structural_low": 39.212164, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.004958, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.004834, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.305556, "worst_return": -0.067894, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.037419, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.066655, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.50868, "worst_return": -0.016971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.141936, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.119261, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.625449, "worst_return": -0.086825, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009412, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.07, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.06267, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.088108, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"close": 48.950001, "volume": 2432305, "typical_volume": 6731724.35, "trend": 45.962347, "fair_value": 51.327934, "relative_strength": -24.652122, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.685535, "energy": 21.491194, "activity_lines": [ 49.496667, 50.18726, 48.827116, 47.551629 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.650002, "volume": 3645621, "typical_volume": 6706890.2, "trend": 46.129674, "fair_value": 51.442131, "relative_strength": -24.328104, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.528849, "energy": 19.358882, "activity_lines": [ 48.680001, 49.716564, 48.85901, 47.66051 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.599998, "volume": 1965844, "typical_volume": 6557075.35, "trend": 46.344492, "fair_value": 51.56008, "relative_strength": -23.4479, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.225544, "energy": 18.855596, "activity_lines": [ 48.37, 49.444711, 48.956571, 47.819886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 48.900002, "volume": 2225461, "typical_volume": 6534277.9, "trend": 46.570893, "fair_value": 51.68144, "relative_strength": -24.436382, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.566442, "energy": 14.664852, "activity_lines": [ 48.473334, 49.21208, 49.063319, 47.984758 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }