{ "ticker": { "uuid": "807b4e46-80d3-4f89-bf9d-e17108b7900a", "symbol": "688698", "name": "Suzhou Veichi Electric Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.686, "architecture_energy": 63.701, "architecture_maturity": 54.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.46, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 13.56, "upward_expansion": 12.15, "deceleration": 43.59, "rotation_down": 68.36, "downward_expansion": 85.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 47.688667, 50.710727, 57.731803, 62.447284 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 50.110001, "trend_reference": 70.745194, "distance_from_trend": -0.291683, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.809514, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.026644, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.073316, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.470744, "excess_performance": -0.42754, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.291683, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128026, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.026644, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.560253, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.310733, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.277344, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.470744, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.095087, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21991018, "relative_activity": 0.89405, "balance": 1.095087, "dry_up": 0.981635, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188129, "annualized_volatility": 0.74079, "from_high_reference": -0.558813, "from_low_reference": 0.189979 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 70.745194, "fair_value_reference": 48.809514, "structural_low": 42.110001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.004738, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.011826, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.216216, "worst_return": -0.241018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.015, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.085535, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.543098, "worst_return": -0.322342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.89691, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.745193, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.377193, "worst_return": -0.214722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.350272, "energy": 71.486108, "activity_lines": [ 52.957999, 57.455598, 62.765696, 67.694224 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 42.110001, "volume": 23076622, "typical_volume": 24046228.15, "trend": 73.799527, "fair_value": 48.609347, "relative_strength": -40.486858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.55148, "energy": 63.531162, "activity_lines": [ 48.880666, 53.760549, 60.513573, 65.571179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.639999, "volume": 24918488, "typical_volume": 24213227.5, "trend": 72.37086, "fair_value": 48.697156, "relative_strength": -32.770854, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.796386, "energy": 66.577619, "activity_lines": [ 47.821333, 51.671905, 58.948593, 63.883468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.110001, "volume": 21991018, "typical_volume": 24597084.6, "trend": 70.745194, "fair_value": 48.809514, "relative_strength": -31.073316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.685826, "energy": 63.701143, "activity_lines": [ 47.688667, 50.710727, 57.731803, 62.447284 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }