{ "ticker": { "uuid": "808ec2be-49a9-4c55-9484-8eceae926b1e", "symbol": "SCCO", "name": "Southern Copper Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.89, "architecture_energy": 23.289, "architecture_maturity": 13.751, "architecture_confidence": 88.543, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.95, "rotation_up": 44.47, "upward_expansion": 44.59, "deceleration": 37.47, "rotation_down": 30.43, "downward_expansion": 16.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 185.653333, 181.965091, 181.228298, 180.811043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 199.06, "trend_reference": 181.476874, "distance_from_trend": 0.096889, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.80094, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.812917, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 14.004029, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.023492, "excess_performance": -0.102133, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.096889, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085398, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.812917, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010273, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.14004, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08408, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023492, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.799239, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5334203, "relative_activity": 0.817844, "balance": 1.799239, "dry_up": 0.902588, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096183, "annualized_volatility": 0.51959, "from_high_reference": -0.097312, "from_low_reference": 1.244209 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 181.476874, "fair_value_reference": 109.80094, "structural_low": 149.094309, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.051525, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.028387, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.180434, "worst_return": -0.06638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.116392, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.003557, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.170384, "worst_return": -0.097003, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.132183, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.040261, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.599259, "worst_return": -0.174601, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.607387, "energy": 4.442646, "activity_lines": [ 178.428667, 180.188458, 179.472674, 179.558205 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 175.83, "volume": 4515447, "typical_volume": 7331359.15, "trend": 176.883317, "fair_value": 106.933255, "relative_strength": 6.725168, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.722411, "energy": 8.736554, "activity_lines": [ 177.108, 179.469897, 179.050469, 179.570615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 172.48, "volume": 6376197, "typical_volume": 7174764.65, "trend": 177.965799, "fair_value": 107.604025, "relative_strength": 5.535551, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.223312, "energy": 18.642195, "activity_lines": [ 174.48, 178.010909, 178.41473, 179.286531 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 179.29, "volume": 6497420, "typical_volume": 7022644.65, "trend": 179.096385, "fair_value": 108.280439, "relative_strength": 9.430683, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.777676, "energy": 17.012368, "activity_lines": [ 175.276, 177.972364, 178.630126, 179.371963 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 182.71, "volume": 5339896, "typical_volume": 6822162.6, "trend": 180.36787, "fair_value": 108.986211, "relative_strength": 9.319683, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.450862, "energy": 14.724136, "activity_lines": [ 178.121333, 178.51, 179.185041, 179.605099 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 199.06, "volume": 5334203, "typical_volume": 6522277.85, "trend": 181.476874, "fair_value": 109.80094, "relative_strength": 14.004029, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.88968, "energy": 23.289006, "activity_lines": [ 185.653333, 181.965091, 181.228298, 180.811043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }