{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80a42afd-4921-4949-bca7-94f7857f8c22", "symbol": "MYGN", "name": "Myriad Genetics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.059, "architecture_energy": 39.031, "architecture_maturity": 38.399, "architecture_confidence": 59.718, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.39, "rotation_up": 12.43, "upward_expansion": 22.67, "deceleration": 62.41, "rotation_down": 65.23, "downward_expansion": 60.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.184, 4.759636, 4.689905, 4.681247 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.26, "trend_reference": 4.768667, "distance_from_trend": -0.316371, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.188462, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.752814, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.807051, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363281, "excess_performance": -0.550735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.316371, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117349, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.752814, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046014, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.508071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126798, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363281, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.70264, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19013970, "relative_activity": 2.272357, "balance": 1.70264, "dry_up": 1.438504, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.26215, "annualized_volatility": 1.198313, "from_high_reference": -0.620489, "from_low_reference": 0.189781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.768667, "fair_value_reference": 13.188462, "structural_low": 2.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.028655, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.064061, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.168978, "worst_return": -0.241554, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.135913, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.03447, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.368772, "worst_return": -0.29572, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076014, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.076701, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.359649, "worst_return": -0.579767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.152307, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.573273, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.077348, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.226994, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.019374, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"trend": 4.988667, "fair_value": 13.387692, "relative_strength": -12.286448, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.059656, "energy": 63.710183, "activity_lines": [ 5.874667, 5.473818, 5.011524, 4.923054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.86, "volume": 21131655, "typical_volume": 8684504.85, "trend": 4.879333, "fair_value": 13.282244, "relative_strength": -55.25813, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.393434, "energy": 11.04711, "activity_lines": [ 4.862, 5.071636, 4.827381, 4.78572 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.26, "volume": 19013970, "typical_volume": 8367511.35, "trend": 4.768667, "fair_value": 13.188462, "relative_strength": -50.807051, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.059267, "energy": 39.031256, "activity_lines": [ 4.184, 4.759636, 4.689905, 4.681247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }