{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "80a74951-4051-4542-84d7-7509184da263",
    "symbol": "SPY5",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P 500 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 87.432,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.126,
    "architecture_energy": 67.182,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.786,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.783,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.54,
        "rotation_up": 53.37,
        "upward_expansion": 82.92,
        "deceleration": 71.41,
        "rotation_down": 29.12,
        "downward_expansion": 11.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        631.389839
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 670.859985,
    "trend_reference": 614.36582,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091955,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 522.535157,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283856,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.316964,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.153556,
    "excess_performance": -0.017336,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091955,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040308,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.283856,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031171,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03317,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01008,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.153556,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.295163,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8242,
      "relative_activity": 2.429011,
      "balance": 1.295163,
      "dry_up": 1.672561,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017742,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.118512,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003831,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239638
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 522.535157,
      "structural_low": 553.590027,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.009747,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004418,
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        "worst_return": -0.101974,
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      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 644.969971,
        "volume": 6359,
        "typical_volume": 3111.65,
        "trend": 611.861871,
        "fair_value": 520.761724,
        "relative_strength": -4.37475,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 60.826168,
        "energy": 58.97408,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 670.859985,
        "volume": 8242,
        "typical_volume": 3393.15,
        "trend": 614.36582,
        "fair_value": 522.535157,
        "relative_strength": -3.316964,
        "stage": 2,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}