{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "80aa0ae0-722a-48b5-bd36-f2dd549d6d46",
    "symbol": "MULTI",
    "name": "Multiconsult ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.229,
    "architecture_energy": 21.002,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.924,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.306,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.53,
        "rotation_up": 29.13,
        "upward_expansion": 18.52,
        "deceleration": 46.16,
        "rotation_down": 26.91,
        "downward_expansion": 57.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        151.453332,
        150.207272,
        152.306518,
        153.510568
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 152.0,
    "trend_reference": 155.559808,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.022884,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 154.493451,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.01614,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.394167,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.089037,
    "excess_performance": -0.214031,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022884,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02836,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01614,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065332,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.163942,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032741,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089037,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.935999,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31670,
      "relative_activity": 1.316807,
      "balance": 0.935999,
      "dry_up": 0.980547,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033704,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245405,
      "from_high_reference": -0.253878,
      "from_low_reference": 0.059972
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 155.559808,
      "fair_value_reference": 154.493451,
      "structural_low": 143.399994,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.007026,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.318182,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010229,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.150794,
        "worst_return": -0.089552,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.08209,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.097245,
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        "end": "2024-02-16",
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        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": -19.193087,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.637935,
        "energy": 12.865412,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 159.800003,
        "volume": 13117,
        "typical_volume": 63079.2,
        "trend": 161.482926,
        "fair_value": 152.757451,
        "relative_strength": -22.343542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 60768.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 24962,
        "typical_volume": 55869.05,
        "trend": 160.982994,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -21.337482,
        "stage": 4,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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        "energy": 75.002031,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 153.973995,
        "relative_strength": -18.897705,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.794388,
        "energy": 70.218183,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 151.399994,
        "volume": 22165,
        "typical_volume": 33754.75,
        "trend": 157.485829,
        "fair_value": 154.086064,
        "relative_strength": -16.567551,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.444868,
        "energy": 49.194525,
        "activity_lines": [
          148.586666,
          149.759999,
          153.051187,
          154.474027
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 151.399994,
        "volume": 14648,
        "typical_volume": 26911.8,
        "trend": 156.72809,
        "fair_value": 154.192613,
        "relative_strength": -17.72685,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.07724,
        "energy": 34.622647,
        "activity_lines": [
          149.639997,
          149.712726,
          152.765361,
          154.081393
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 152.0,
        "volume": 25848,
        "typical_volume": 24783.15,
        "trend": 156.119697,
        "fair_value": 154.336131,
        "relative_strength": -16.933814,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.692048,
        "energy": 23.568941,
        "activity_lines": [
          150.759998,
          149.930908,
          152.538678,
          153.776355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 152.0,
        "volume": 31670,
        "typical_volume": 24050.6,
        "trend": 155.559808,
        "fair_value": 154.493451,
        "relative_strength": -16.394167,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.228988,
        "energy": 21.002007,
        "activity_lines": [
          151.453332,
          150.207272,
          152.306518,
          153.510568
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}