{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80afb551-48b0-422d-8e0a-ed7e032912c7", "symbol": "CDOT", "name": "CoinShares Polkadot Staking ETP", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.284, "architecture_energy": 68.143, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.092, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 26.59, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 52.62, "rotation_down": 62.53, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.80208, 0.833333, 0.951496, 1.050372 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.8076, "trend_reference": 1.201833, "distance_from_trend": -0.328027, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.38552, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.815849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.329973, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.371615, "excess_performance": -0.454499, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.328027, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.262929, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.815849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085183, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.6333, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.371615, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.669819, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.669819, "dry_up": 2.987463, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083457, "annualized_volatility": 0.523553, "from_high_reference": -0.811617, "from_low_reference": 0.068678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.201833, "fair_value_reference": 4.38552, "structural_low": 0.7557, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.01546, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.023743, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.861283, "worst_return": -0.377024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.254364, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.294791, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.53113, "worst_return": -0.375055, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030531, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.05584, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.011565, "worst_return": -0.536846, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.033668, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.085121, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.009104, "worst_return": -0.058232, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-01", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114911, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.3778, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.17371, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.080764, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172844, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.177605, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.199776, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.442379, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025502, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.360471, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.270406, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.087752, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.022281, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.705524, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.318, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 4.238, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 4.064, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 213.45, "trend": 5.297633, "fair_value": 7.702706, "relative_strength": -26.872996, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.827498, "energy": 86.006835, "activity_lines": [ 4.292033, 4.5403, 4.708414, 4.94914 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 4.08, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 213.45, "trend": 5.2327, "fair_value": 7.657981, "relative_strength": -24.769161, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.367103, "energy": 86.677288, "activity_lines": [ 4.181433, 4.428773, 4.630933, 4.870583 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 3.9505, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 213.45, "trend": 5.142483, "fair_value": 7.612768, "relative_strength": -27.963558, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.270088, "energy": 90.115466, "activity_lines": [ 4.070567, 4.306091, 4.549076, 4.78786 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 3.9595, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 213.45, "trend": 5.0551, "fair_value": 7.568753, "relative_strength": -25.805051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.336714, "energy": 89.314851, "activity_lines": [ 4.0137, 4.202836, 4.475693, 4.711539 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 4.0395, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 4.989883, "fair_value": 7.526738, "relative_strength": -23.125331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.465259, "energy": 84.747054, "activity_lines": [ 4.0074, 4.136918, 4.417288, 4.646016 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 4.002, "volume": 1050, "typical_volume": 252.5, "trend": 4.951017, "fair_value": 7.485271, "relative_strength": -22.141272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.985272, "energy": 82.422527, "activity_lines": [ 4.001833, 4.083009, 4.359929, 4.582282 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 3.616, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 252.5, "trend": 4.85955, "fair_value": 7.440279, "relative_strength": -29.243633, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.293683, "energy": 88.626571, "activity_lines": [ 3.871733, 3.975182, 4.270993, 4.496152 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 3.59, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 252.5, "trend": 4.781717, "fair_value": 7.396023, "relative_strength": -25.299579, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.382252, "energy": 91.241168, "activity_lines": [ 3.7639, 3.882764, 4.186543, 4.414245 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 4.0955, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 252.5, "trend": 4.718633, "fair_value": 7.358517, "relative_strength": -13.795818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.067537, "energy": 63.961057, "activity_lines": [ 3.8486, 3.902718, 4.15736, 4.369973 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 4.531, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 252.5, "trend": 4.6655, "fair_value": 7.326747, "relative_strength": -6.05851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.171445, "energy": 35.965514, "activity_lines": [ 4.0694, 4.0059, 4.1733, 4.357868 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 5.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 102.5, "trend": 4.6245, "fair_value": 7.300894, "relative_strength": 4.022901, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.257251, "energy": 25.336062, "activity_lines": [ 4.413767, 4.189027, 4.232157, 4.379448 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 4.9745, "volume": 10365, "typical_volume": 620.75, "trend": 4.598617, "fair_value": 7.27533, "relative_strength": 1.928445, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.578963, "energy": 50.670727, "activity_lines": [ 4.6831, 4.3505, 4.287833, 4.402029 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 5.036, "volume": 910, "typical_volume": 666.25, "trend": 4.581483, "fair_value": 7.250989, "relative_strength": 1.849787, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.248277, "energy": 54.748317, "activity_lines": [ 4.882367, 4.506891, 4.348352, 4.430247 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 5.233, "volume": 50, "typical_volume": 618.75, "trend": 4.572417, "fair_value": 7.22929, "relative_strength": 5.792394, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.422178, "energy": 79.119186, "activity_lines": [ 5.0509, 4.679364, 4.427124, 4.472281 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 6.58, "volume": 7420, "typical_volume": 989.75, "trend": 4.624783, "fair_value": 7.222383, "relative_strength": 30.119109, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 71.660304, "energy": 89.426237, "activity_lines": [ 5.5926, 5.073591, 4.634086, 4.601802 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 6.889, "volume": 5874, "typical_volume": 1283.45, "trend": 4.684717, "fair_value": 7.218874, "relative_strength": 33.873796, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.358245, "energy": 98.790344, "activity_lines": [ 6.1007, 5.477809, 4.86331, 4.747881 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 7.501, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1283.45, "trend": 4.765483, "fair_value": 7.221812, "relative_strength": 44.647723, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.181497, "energy": 98.472414, "activity_lines": [ 6.686867, 5.940809, 5.141331, 4.929576 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 7.94, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 1408.45, "trend": 4.860617, "fair_value": 7.229216, "relative_strength": 51.292391, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.334991, "energy": 97.558642, "activity_lines": [ 7.250933, 6.412991, 5.447936, 5.134384 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 6.877, "volume": 1044, "typical_volume": 1460.65, "trend": 4.9278, "fair_value": 7.225622, "relative_strength": 29.372119, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.449072, "energy": 86.678131, "activity_lines": [ 7.267067, 6.612809, 5.637948, 5.264473 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 7.389, "volume": 2371, "typical_volume": 1579.2, "trend": 5.035317, "fair_value": 7.227273, "relative_strength": 37.352368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.570555, "energy": 68.219416, "activity_lines": [ 7.344267, 6.855145, 5.864536, 5.42326 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 6.42, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1579.2, "trend": 5.087917, "fair_value": 7.2192, "relative_strength": 19.794789, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.41917, "energy": 60.211284, "activity_lines": [ 7.044533, 6.869336, 5.983833, 5.512595 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 6.198, "volume": 2866, "typical_volume": 1722.5, "trend": 5.1358, "fair_value": 7.209089, "relative_strength": 13.241991, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.150168, "energy": 40.09401, "activity_lines": [ 6.702067, 6.817345, 6.070769, 5.584213 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 6.649, "volume": 2772, "typical_volume": 1861.1, "trend": 5.193133, "fair_value": 7.203598, "relative_strength": 23.037095, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.216765, "energy": 33.785805, "activity_lines": [ 6.5968, 6.825109, 6.190571, 5.681839 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 6.951, "volume": 5413, "typical_volume": 2131.75, "trend": 5.251067, "fair_value": 7.201146, "relative_strength": 29.90072, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.035055, "energy": 29.673179, "activity_lines": [ 6.678267, 6.858455, 6.326286, 5.795249 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 7.525, "volume": 7465, "typical_volume": 2505.0, "trend": 5.332733, "fair_value": 7.20426, "relative_strength": 37.499358, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.547479, "energy": 42.15703, "activity_lines": [ 6.946133, 6.964927, 6.502421, 5.941955 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 7.186, "volume": 1325, "typical_volume": 2518.75, "trend": 5.40905, "fair_value": 7.204086, "relative_strength": 28.991897, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.637702, "energy": 46.055456, "activity_lines": [ 7.091933, 6.992582, 6.629674, 6.06152 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 8.175, "volume": 3229, "typical_volume": 2680.2, "trend": 5.5241, "fair_value": 7.213245, "relative_strength": 45.766368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.341705, "energy": 57.008506, "activity_lines": [ 7.516333, 7.194655, 6.835955, 6.239969 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 10.26, "volume": 450, "typical_volume": 2702.7, "trend": 5.708917, "fair_value": 7.24172, "relative_strength": 77.729046, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.517207, "energy": 90.993057, "activity_lines": [ 8.503933, 7.763564, 7.219098, 6.545511 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 10.302, "volume": 2024, "typical_volume": 2803.9, "trend": 5.908383, "fair_value": 7.270056, "relative_strength": 76.079566, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.593363, "energy": 94.569194, "activity_lines": [ 9.2648, 8.297927, 7.574479, 6.841839 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 8.996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2803.9, "trend": 6.066983, "fair_value": 7.28589, "relative_strength": 52.815991, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.484168, "energy": 86.773264, "activity_lines": [ 9.366933, 8.532564, 7.775924, 7.04104 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 9.581, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 2804.05, "trend": 6.250883, "fair_value": 7.306755, "relative_strength": 59.974701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.872642, "energy": 86.368088, "activity_lines": [ 9.566, 8.844345, 8.011821, 7.267751 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 8.445, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2285.8, "trend": 6.396383, "fair_value": 7.317009, "relative_strength": 42.866737, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.88469, "energy": 58.069225, "activity_lines": [ 9.226733, 8.892109, 8.117714, 7.409306 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 8.489, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2240.3, "trend": 6.547667, "fair_value": 7.327473, "relative_strength": 44.017986, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.012044, "energy": 41.646125, "activity_lines": [ 8.884133, 8.907018, 8.211271, 7.544314 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 6.762, "volume": 2745, "typical_volume": 2375.05, "trend": 6.641083, "fair_value": 7.322469, "relative_strength": 15.149933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.833449, "energy": 17.963394, "activity_lines": [ 8.083933, 8.574473, 8.12391, 7.558142 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 6.948, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2004.05, "trend": 6.738033, "fair_value": 7.319184, "relative_strength": 17.265715, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.070177, "energy": 22.833519, "activity_lines": [ 7.581733, 8.279182, 8.046981, 7.577943 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 7.311, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1710.35, "trend": 6.848333, "fair_value": 7.319113, "relative_strength": 23.391619, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.17808, "energy": 27.003139, "activity_lines": [ 7.337067, 8.060382, 8.002871, 7.614909 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 7.031, "volume": 5466, "typical_volume": 1983.65, "trend": 6.962167, "fair_value": 7.316629, "relative_strength": 13.128988, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.783639, "energy": 25.728171, "activity_lines": [ 7.1504, 7.7884, 7.930086, 7.626694 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 7.351, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1858.65, "trend": 7.087533, "fair_value": 7.316923, "relative_strength": 14.772115, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.242598, "energy": 19.875616, "activity_lines": [ 7.164667, 7.5954, 7.890014, 7.65178 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 7.462, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1806.45, "trend": 7.19975, "fair_value": 7.318153, "relative_strength": 16.777833, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.213085, "energy": 14.217696, "activity_lines": [ 7.2918, 7.475473, 7.863319, 7.675939 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 7.046, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1687.9, "trend": 7.283583, "fair_value": 7.315866, "relative_strength": 9.07329, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.257859, "energy": 20.196892, "activity_lines": [ 7.2336, 7.331545, 7.794219, 7.666019 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 7.256, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 1712.9, "trend": 7.358783, "fair_value": 7.315367, "relative_strength": 9.371243, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.262091, "energy": 16.228423, "activity_lines": [ 7.238867, 7.261255, 7.746752, 7.66424 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 6.316, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1569.6, "trend": 7.4035, "fair_value": 7.307107, "relative_strength": -3.67945, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.832405, "energy": 35.097338, "activity_lines": [ 6.934467, 7.062327, 7.605781, 7.596963 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 5.714, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 1471.0, "trend": 7.4261, "fair_value": 7.294049, "relative_strength": -12.766059, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.538224, "energy": 67.740038, "activity_lines": [ 6.477067, 6.792655, 7.406914, 7.487963 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 6.252, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1200.35, "trend": 7.460067, "fair_value": 7.285577, "relative_strength": -4.734219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.991906, "energy": 74.388651, "activity_lines": [ 6.308133, 6.671255, 7.263738, 7.412215 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 5.869, "volume": 4210, "typical_volume": 1037.6, "trend": 7.436367, "fair_value": 7.274153, "relative_strength": -10.773529, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.713268, "energy": 82.484312, "activity_lines": [ 6.0922, 6.489491, 7.087414, 7.309566 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 6.065, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 971.35, "trend": 7.4089, "fair_value": 7.26448, "relative_strength": -10.537904, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.482309, "energy": 78.663513, "activity_lines": [ 6.020067, 6.362982, 6.937643, 7.22109 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 6.238, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 809.9, "trend": 7.3668, "fair_value": 7.256333, "relative_strength": -6.731761, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.729724, "energy": 74.143405, "activity_lines": [ 6.085, 6.290582, 6.809686, 7.145548 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 5.793, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 787.4, "trend": 7.295233, "fair_value": 7.244811, "relative_strength": -13.988913, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.19287, "energy": 75.946981, "activity_lines": [ 6.0068, 6.151691, 6.648571, 7.044013 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 5.031, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 686.2, "trend": 7.2337, "fair_value": 7.227516, "relative_strength": -22.995419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.376888, "energy": 87.903682, "activity_lines": [ 5.669333, 5.902582, 6.436157, 6.897933 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 4.635, "volume": 250, "typical_volume": 698.7, "trend": 7.1419, "fair_value": 7.207419, "relative_strength": -28.912521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.155641, "energy": 90.791491, "activity_lines": [ 5.281267, 5.625673, 6.211129, 6.730275 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 4.2675, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 698.55, "trend": 7.07015, "fair_value": 7.184804, "relative_strength": -36.174492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.218088, "energy": 94.165458, "activity_lines": [ 4.852967, 5.325782, 5.971867, 6.54483 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 4.4965, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 698.65, "trend": 7.013433, "fair_value": 7.164282, "relative_strength": -33.561352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.633091, "energy": 89.928335, "activity_lines": [ 4.620833, 5.121864, 5.779717, 6.378788 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 4.027, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 698.65, "trend": 6.926033, "fair_value": 7.140515, "relative_strength": -40.835385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.124839, "energy": 93.179337, "activity_lines": [ 4.3483, 4.865664, 5.561655, 6.186115 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 3.9135, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 561.4, "trend": 6.824783, "fair_value": 7.116252, "relative_strength": -39.858862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.211263, "energy": 91.771131, "activity_lines": [ 4.155667, 4.6195, 5.354031, 5.991758 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 4.195, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 561.4, "trend": 6.713783, "fair_value": 7.094451, "relative_strength": -36.21433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.143549, "energy": 84.124273, "activity_lines": [ 4.131367, 4.467036, 5.186781, 5.822095 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 4.1295, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 561.4, "trend": 6.6119, "fair_value": 7.072489, "relative_strength": -36.637253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.683666, "energy": 74.851827, "activity_lines": [ 4.114567, 4.3331, 5.026402, 5.655367 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 4.69, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 288.1, "trend": 6.495733, "fair_value": 7.054971, "relative_strength": -29.838348, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.989512, "energy": 63.527023, "activity_lines": [ 4.2938, 4.336264, 4.934555, 5.531373 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 4.0465, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 288.1, "trend": 6.288617, "fair_value": 7.033011, "relative_strength": -38.199791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.690393, "energy": 64.005954, "activity_lines": [ 4.245633, 4.250573, 4.792569, 5.373358 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 4.0295, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 288.1, "trend": 6.079533, "fair_value": 7.011246, "relative_strength": -39.254441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.805439, "energy": 62.758154, "activity_lines": [ 4.1905, 4.193545, 4.6647, 5.227609 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 4.201, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 288.1, "trend": 5.9197, "fair_value": 6.991029, "relative_strength": -37.542216, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.798467, "energy": 55.732867, "activity_lines": [ 4.1848, 4.185909, 4.56951, 5.106413 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 4.1555, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 263.1, "trend": 5.73885, "fair_value": 6.970775, "relative_strength": -37.371966, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.717196, "energy": 58.749009, "activity_lines": [ 4.163533, 4.177891, 4.483533, 4.992594 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 3.9415, "volume": 350, "typical_volume": 280.6, "trend": 5.588733, "fair_value": 6.949291, "relative_strength": -39.309042, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.197739, "energy": 63.98091, "activity_lines": [ 4.0692, 4.133, 4.39194, 4.876635 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 4.2895, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 240.6, "trend": 5.44875, "fair_value": 6.93056, "relative_strength": -32.739289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.224898, "energy": 55.89538, "activity_lines": [ 4.140767, 4.161473, 4.344798, 4.792814 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 5.003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 240.6, "trend": 5.390117, "fair_value": 6.91708, "relative_strength": -20.306239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.187949, "energy": 22.596877, "activity_lines": [ 4.433967, 4.3149, 4.37239, 4.764056 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 6.456, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.1, "trend": 5.373717, "fair_value": 6.913878, "relative_strength": 1.73433, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 28.310818, "energy": 39.541392, "activity_lines": [ 5.1466, 4.7127, 4.544312, 4.832823 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 8.721, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.1, "trend": 5.420717, "fair_value": 6.926341, "relative_strength": 35.614082, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.541928, "energy": 76.479638, "activity_lines": [ 6.4639, 5.481209, 4.929152, 5.048776 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 10.686, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 30.1, "trend": 5.54255, "fair_value": 6.952092, "relative_strength": 64.132333, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 68.639193, "energy": 88.893907, "activity_lines": [ 8.131833, 6.523509, 5.488488, 5.388472 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 9.312, "volume": 4991, "typical_volume": 279.65, "trend": 5.607917, "fair_value": 6.968146, "relative_strength": 43.18229, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.897401, "energy": 92.515082, "activity_lines": [ 8.892133, 7.206973, 5.895786, 5.631662 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 7.215, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 279.65, "trend": 5.599683, "fair_value": 6.969814, "relative_strength": 14.107729, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.298754, "energy": 88.405732, "activity_lines": [ 8.6186, 7.413427, 6.086612, 5.735345 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 7.181, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 267.15, "trend": 5.604183, "fair_value": 6.971232, "relative_strength": 11.928261, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.295151, "energy": 66.574999, "activity_lines": [ 8.186267, 7.555782, 6.2638, 5.837366 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 8.1, "volume": 520, "typical_volume": 293.15, "trend": 5.632317, "fair_value": 6.978757, "relative_strength": 25.518067, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.736528, "energy": 55.72387, "activity_lines": [ 8.011933, 7.811045, 6.516388, 5.998386 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 7.031, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 293.05, "trend": 5.65615, "fair_value": 6.979103, "relative_strength": 7.632412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.903182, "energy": 31.647523, "activity_lines": [ 7.522667, 7.800227, 6.648917, 6.088624 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 7.769, "volume": 453, "typical_volume": 315.7, "trend": 5.72465, "fair_value": 6.984299, "relative_strength": 16.670058, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.300147, "energy": 30.841719, "activity_lines": [ 7.523067, 7.867418, 6.839662, 6.224937 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 6.792, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 315.7, "trend": 5.74265, "fair_value": 6.983042, "relative_strength": -0.497116, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.425024, "energy": 25.647878, "activity_lines": [ 7.300667, 7.693709, 6.91954, 6.293798 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 6.527, "volume": 8027, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.764583, "fair_value": 6.980081, "relative_strength": -6.493353, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.905491, "energy": 22.438892, "activity_lines": [ 7.018133, 7.439291, 6.960474, 6.344401 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 5.047, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.73065, "fair_value": 6.96761, "relative_strength": -27.102925, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.825153, "energy": 14.402669, "activity_lines": [ 6.285867, 6.914491, 6.84935, 6.298105 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 5.382, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.702117, "fair_value": 6.957446, "relative_strength": -23.09471, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.407534, "energy": 22.073384, "activity_lines": [ 5.8688, 6.5174, 6.765762, 6.275612 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 5.42, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.689683, "fair_value": 6.893804, "relative_strength": -22.63848, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.167266, "energy": 32.099972, "activity_lines": [ 5.574333, 6.223655, 6.682498, 6.257411 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 4.9685, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.6876, "fair_value": 6.824269, "relative_strength": -28.551685, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.318781, "energy": 48.002182, "activity_lines": [ 5.285967, 5.918582, 6.549693, 6.210883 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 4.582, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.685833, "fair_value": 6.744885, "relative_strength": -33.198974, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.784143, "energy": 60.925964, "activity_lines": [ 4.990333, 5.584082, 6.375607, 6.139554 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 4.3095, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 717.05, "trend": 5.687233, "fair_value": 6.659279, "relative_strength": -35.088379, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.0206, "energy": 67.099196, "activity_lines": [ 4.733533, 5.247291, 6.173755, 6.050758 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 4.56, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.68935, "fair_value": 6.564804, "relative_strength": -31.056365, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.001749, "energy": 67.328146, "activity_lines": [ 4.6094, 5.024964, 5.995026, 5.978033 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 4.451, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.703483, "fair_value": 6.462535, "relative_strength": -30.225832, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.567255, "energy": 67.598779, "activity_lines": [ 4.503733, 4.827745, 5.802971, 5.89814 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 4.0305, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.707383, "fair_value": 6.365821, "relative_strength": -29.290793, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -49.305691, "energy": 72.267694, "activity_lines": [ 4.3225, 4.6144, 5.5701, 5.790205 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 3.343, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.678983, "fair_value": 6.278135, "relative_strength": -38.127129, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.197336, "energy": 89.780953, "activity_lines": [ 3.974633, 4.326264, 5.276383, 5.637665 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 3.47, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.657, "fair_value": 6.18666, "relative_strength": -37.341413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.601707, "energy": 89.123463, "activity_lines": [ 3.7517, 4.119109, 5.009586, 5.495149 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 4.1715, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 699.55, "trend": 5.639717, "fair_value": 6.108478, "relative_strength": -25.655057, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.98921, "energy": 83.891884, "activity_lines": [ 3.818567, 4.068173, 4.834602, 5.399311 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 4.0635, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 450.0, "trend": 5.640283, "fair_value": 6.041859, "relative_strength": -28.494683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.194969, "energy": 79.233226, "activity_lines": [ 3.875333, 4.019609, 4.680355, 5.297619 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 4.554, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 600.0, "trend": 5.657767, "fair_value": 5.998423, "relative_strength": -18.006813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.694997, "energy": 52.464539, "activity_lines": [ 4.121433, 4.084891, 4.597814, 5.227537 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 4.827, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 600.0, "trend": 5.678633, "fair_value": 5.968192, "relative_strength": -14.048267, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.942586, "energy": 30.873216, "activity_lines": [ 4.423633, 4.207345, 4.553945, 5.173939 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 4.6315, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 574.0, "trend": 5.6945, "fair_value": 5.938362, "relative_strength": -15.732668, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.304193, "energy": 31.503286, "activity_lines": [ 4.561733, 4.2898, 4.502667, 5.106382 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 4.07, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 574.0, "trend": 5.698783, "fair_value": 5.90617, "relative_strength": -25.310204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.05244, "energy": 32.952495, "activity_lines": [ 4.435233, 4.264309, 4.414429, 5.001575 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 3.8555, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 551.35, "trend": 5.684317, "fair_value": 5.873801, "relative_strength": -29.185804, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.73279, "energy": 40.81322, "activity_lines": [ 4.244, 4.208727, 4.319862, 4.882654 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 3.679, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 551.35, "trend": 5.640183, "fair_value": 5.851359, "relative_strength": -30.530752, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.210907, "energy": 58.800971, "activity_lines": [ 4.0078, 4.131882, 4.227121, 4.753278 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 3.359, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 150.0, "trend": 5.53695, "fair_value": 5.822718, "relative_strength": -34.549227, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.490409, "energy": 81.083958, "activity_lines": [ 3.723267, 4.003245, 4.118729, 4.606105 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 3.137, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 150.0, "trend": 5.350817, "fair_value": 5.800583, "relative_strength": -38.724245, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.898136, "energy": 90.385344, "activity_lines": [ 3.4626, 3.833955, 4.004279, 4.45127 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 3.1605, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 150.0, "trend": 5.099967, "fair_value": 5.775381, "relative_strength": -37.592619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.18364, "energy": 89.832504, "activity_lines": [ 3.3094, 3.674991, 3.901162, 4.309959 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 3.8215, "volume": 2675, "typical_volume": 283.75, "trend": 4.91695, "fair_value": 5.756038, "relative_strength": -23.728563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.203959, "energy": 71.601875, "activity_lines": [ 3.437167, 3.654591, 3.871576, 4.227477 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 4.0405, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.75, "trend": 4.811133, "fair_value": 5.73451, "relative_strength": -19.013544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.498617, "energy": 48.763841, "activity_lines": [ 3.6402, 3.678409, 3.87046, 4.170932 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 3.744, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.75, "trend": 4.696567, "fair_value": 5.707561, "relative_strength": -24.225654, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.636818, "energy": 32.736414, "activity_lines": [ 3.7203, 3.657655, 3.845524, 4.102085 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 3.6615, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 283.75, "trend": 4.548617, "fair_value": 5.678019, "relative_strength": -24.745507, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.943518, "energy": 22.508382, "activity_lines": [ 3.747233, 3.641591, 3.816721, 4.035306 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 3.716, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 288.75, "trend": 4.438117, "fair_value": 5.643603, "relative_strength": -23.546831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.175158, "energy": 20.401395, "activity_lines": [ 3.757367, 3.653073, 3.796195, 3.981589 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 3.7325, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 4.303567, "fair_value": 5.620106, "relative_strength": -24.381395, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.407048, "energy": 24.076262, "activity_lines": [ 3.735967, 3.673991, 3.78126, 3.936066 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 3.7745, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 4.202983, "fair_value": 5.598327, "relative_strength": -24.518037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.160291, "energy": 22.099849, "activity_lines": [ 3.7345, 3.704782, 3.773745, 3.901932 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 3.7925, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 4.111833, "fair_value": 5.574292, "relative_strength": -23.631759, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.533865, "energy": 17.907836, "activity_lines": [ 3.756767, 3.737109, 3.769164, 3.875449 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 3.6235, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 4.064383, "fair_value": 5.548038, "relative_strength": -27.992773, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.617405, "energy": 24.973248, "activity_lines": [ 3.719467, 3.730827, 3.746348, 3.843944 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 3.9675, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 4.017233, "fair_value": 5.529676, "relative_strength": -19.926566, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.684744, "energy": 6.269617, "activity_lines": [ 3.799367, 3.778245, 3.755562, 3.837694 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 4.228, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 289.05, "trend": 3.9775, "fair_value": 5.515683, "relative_strength": -14.088488, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.915757, "energy": 17.442587, "activity_lines": [ 3.949333, 3.858355, 3.790557, 3.851291 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 3.7495, "volume": 850, "typical_volume": 181.55, "trend": 3.936867, "fair_value": 5.497635, "relative_strength": -22.409162, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.804605, "energy": 14.032526, "activity_lines": [ 3.906767, 3.844073, 3.779198, 3.836582 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 4.0855, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 181.55, "trend": 3.920317, "fair_value": 5.482228, "relative_strength": -19.318161, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.067512, "energy": 27.565906, "activity_lines": [ 3.977867, 3.896173, 3.803669, 3.846171 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 3.877, "volume": 3829, "typical_volume": 373.0, "trend": 3.9059, "fair_value": 5.466375, "relative_strength": -23.201396, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.381088, "energy": 25.706838, "activity_lines": [ 3.959933, 3.904155, 3.811814, 3.843376 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 2.7425, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 373.0, "trend": 3.845317, "fair_value": 5.445359, "relative_strength": -46.057298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.241223, "energy": 48.316072, "activity_lines": [ 3.546933, 3.701945, 3.715505, 3.768318 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 2.8575, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 373.0, "trend": 3.7922, "fair_value": 5.421196, "relative_strength": -43.144896, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.555929, "energy": 79.796758, "activity_lines": [ 3.253933, 3.538345, 3.636469, 3.704588 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 2.772, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 373.0, "trend": 3.75025, "fair_value": 5.393881, "relative_strength": -43.060372, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.494847, "energy": 87.952708, "activity_lines": [ 3.0238, 3.375109, 3.554043, 3.638769 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 2.8685, "volume": 106, "typical_volume": 378.3, "trend": 3.734433, "fair_value": 5.376551, "relative_strength": -41.012488, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.451604, "energy": 85.424071, "activity_lines": [ 2.891, 3.247645, 3.485126, 3.581882 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 2.766, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 378.3, "trend": 3.710967, "fair_value": 5.358346, "relative_strength": -44.057672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.052365, "energy": 86.32081, "activity_lines": [ 2.805167, 3.118345, 3.408783, 3.519402 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 2.3115, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 378.3, "trend": 3.648967, "fair_value": 5.339869, "relative_strength": -52.382716, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.171453, "energy": 90.997708, "activity_lines": [ 2.6419, 2.922, 3.290921, 3.429114 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 2.258, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 244.55, "trend": 3.588783, "fair_value": 5.319285, "relative_strength": -52.881177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.798153, "energy": 87.206208, "activity_lines": [ 2.489533, 2.746036, 3.172007, 3.339374 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 2.1085, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 244.55, "trend": 3.507267, "fair_value": 5.299513, "relative_strength": -54.609473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.087218, "energy": 86.00688, "activity_lines": [ 2.3273, 2.578709, 3.0463, 3.243872 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 1.8886, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 244.55, "trend": 3.40932, "fair_value": 5.280068, "relative_strength": -57.718085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.743856, "energy": 89.568244, "activity_lines": [ 2.136, 2.401236, 2.90885, 3.139442 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 1.7894, "volume": 20909, "typical_volume": 1290.0, "trend": 3.314583, "fair_value": 5.263574, "relative_strength": -59.690289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.219067, "energy": 90.869045, "activity_lines": [ 1.97696, 2.245671, 2.770788, 3.034931 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 1.6854, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1285.0, "trend": 3.235097, "fair_value": 5.247672, "relative_strength": -61.144889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.757987, "energy": 91.591942, "activity_lines": [ 1.84836, 2.109153, 2.631735, 2.929822 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 1.7532, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 1314.7, "trend": 3.16502, "fair_value": 5.229898, "relative_strength": -58.273636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.962672, "energy": 88.65928, "activity_lines": [ 1.7841, 2.004182, 2.50881, 2.834216 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 2.063, "volume": 32, "typical_volume": 1316.3, "trend": 3.111153, "fair_value": 5.210462, "relative_strength": -50.124629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.389022, "energy": 74.005727, "activity_lines": [ 1.85676, 1.975616, 2.424814, 2.763118 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 2.0325, "volume": 1547, "typical_volume": 1393.65, "trend": 3.066937, "fair_value": 5.187183, "relative_strength": -49.260072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.83133, "energy": 74.185287, "activity_lines": [ 1.922287, 1.954396, 2.346063, 2.693528 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 1.85, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1393.65, "trend": 3.024037, "fair_value": 5.159151, "relative_strength": -51.59563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.946063, "energy": 60.963061, "activity_lines": [ 1.917387, 1.915195, 2.258313, 2.615015 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 1.5976, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 1393.8, "trend": 2.97194, "fair_value": 5.127405, "relative_strength": -57.206063, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.467872, "energy": 68.062569, "activity_lines": [ 1.824313, 1.846756, 2.15497, 2.522987 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 1.2852, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1393.8, "trend": 2.887397, "fair_value": 5.097003, "relative_strength": -65.482541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -90.998228, "energy": 89.269007, "activity_lines": [ 1.63296, 1.734498, 2.033159, 2.414165 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 1.235, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 1351.45, "trend": 2.79388, "fair_value": 5.062246, "relative_strength": -66.479419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.831673, "energy": 92.409769, "activity_lines": [ 1.456073, 1.6308, 1.920581, 2.307559 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 1.2618, "volume": 9, "typical_volume": 1351.9, "trend": 2.71114, "fair_value": 5.028149, "relative_strength": -65.592175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.252189, "energy": 92.122458, "activity_lines": [ 1.34332, 1.547856, 1.822529, 2.208715 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 1.462, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1160.45, "trend": 2.637823, "fair_value": 4.999085, "relative_strength": -59.760291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.393681, "energy": 87.460859, "activity_lines": [ 1.34868, 1.512709, 1.75699, 2.128126 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 1.448, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1160.45, "trend": 2.562223, "fair_value": 4.975238, "relative_strength": -56.577066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.801334, "energy": 79.72254, "activity_lines": [ 1.37524, 1.480969, 1.701618, 2.051363 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 1.45, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1160.45, "trend": 2.48614, "fair_value": 4.943764, "relative_strength": -54.897389, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.911962, "energy": 65.569528, "activity_lines": [ 1.41244, 1.453909, 1.6526, 1.979606 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 1.466, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1160.45, "trend": 2.40919, "fair_value": 4.915181, "relative_strength": -51.62796, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.710017, "energy": 57.560393, "activity_lines": [ 1.443987, 1.435271, 1.611809, 1.913791 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 1.258, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1155.15, "trend": 2.324707, "fair_value": 4.88486, "relative_strength": -58.514544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.021267, "energy": 64.09727, "activity_lines": [ 1.3908, 1.389669, 1.557427, 1.839521 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 1.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1155.15, "trend": 2.243923, "fair_value": 4.85329, "relative_strength": -60.891718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.478879, "energy": 68.666808, "activity_lines": [ 1.318533, 1.347604, 1.50519, 1.766959 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 1.266, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1155.15, "trend": 2.153873, "fair_value": 4.821469, "relative_strength": -58.693959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.322969, "energy": 66.84576, "activity_lines": [ 1.285733, 1.329356, 1.466696, 1.703867 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 1.2702, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 1155.35, "trend": 2.05528, "fair_value": 4.792746, "relative_strength": -58.613473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.827038, "energy": 65.806777, "activity_lines": [ 1.266467, 1.317902, 1.433581, 1.646856 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 1.2024, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1155.35, "trend": 1.970377, "fair_value": 4.764877, "relative_strength": -59.17175, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.263538, "energy": 68.05641, "activity_lines": [ 1.236587, 1.294393, 1.398712, 1.591831 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 1.166, "volume": 99, "typical_volume": 1160.3, "trend": 1.87306, "fair_value": 4.737063, "relative_strength": -59.460329, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.775725, "energy": 74.792932, "activity_lines": [ 1.212147, 1.264858, 1.364692, 1.539936 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 1.2694, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 115.2, "trend": 1.78614, "fair_value": 4.713091, "relative_strength": -54.630007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.798168, "energy": 65.302719, "activity_lines": [ 1.228307, 1.255865, 1.34396, 1.50099 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 1.2664, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 115.2, "trend": 1.736937, "fair_value": 4.688574, "relative_strength": -53.920284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.857928, "energy": 63.675391, "activity_lines": [ 1.23884, 1.249829, 1.325419, 1.467459 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 1.266, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 85.2, "trend": 1.683887, "fair_value": 4.664138, "relative_strength": -53.675155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.572546, "energy": 54.439068, "activity_lines": [ 1.249213, 1.247022, 1.308834, 1.437076 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 1.172, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 83.7, "trend": 1.630553, "fair_value": 4.639049, "relative_strength": -56.214853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.285936, "energy": 64.033676, "activity_lines": [ 1.228533, 1.230469, 1.285618, 1.404051 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.9396, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.35, "trend": 1.566257, "fair_value": 4.613908, "relative_strength": -63.6375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.814613, "energy": 73.886921, "activity_lines": [ 1.132413, 1.177007, 1.24451, 1.359473 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.9424, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.35, "trend": 1.50547, "fair_value": 4.59326, "relative_strength": -63.52907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.564638, "energy": 88.27716, "activity_lines": [ 1.05232, 1.129844, 1.208874, 1.319224 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.9584, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.2, "trend": 1.460367, "fair_value": 4.568365, "relative_strength": -62.266204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.814522, "energy": 91.555623, "activity_lines": [ 0.99936, 1.090273, 1.179084, 1.283929 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.848, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.2, "trend": 1.413367, "fair_value": 4.543279, "relative_strength": -66.853729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.891238, "energy": 95.962053, "activity_lines": [ 0.930133, 1.036222, 1.141823, 1.244422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.8644, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6.05, "trend": 1.371897, "fair_value": 4.517224, "relative_strength": -66.064152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.936299, "energy": 92.402944, "activity_lines": [ 0.89424, 0.992829, 1.108206, 1.209005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.8652, "volume": 19761, "typical_volume": 993.65, "trend": 1.337783, "fair_value": 4.489353, "relative_strength": -64.581048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.220388, "energy": 90.153407, "activity_lines": [ 0.87912, 0.955727, 1.07643, 1.176315 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.8424, "volume": 14100, "typical_volume": 1698.65, "trend": 1.306217, "fair_value": 4.462221, "relative_strength": -64.673135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.640416, "energy": 91.047304, "activity_lines": [ 0.86136, 0.919949, 1.04437, 1.144354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8068, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1698.65, "trend": 1.27693, "fair_value": 4.436005, "relative_strength": -65.089889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.964059, "energy": 84.259628, "activity_lines": [ 0.8384, 0.885462, 1.011871, 1.112134 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7557, "volume": 15400, "typical_volume": 2468.65, "trend": 1.24368, "fair_value": 4.410571, "relative_strength": -66.313315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.752305, "energy": 75.281574, "activity_lines": [ 0.808513, 0.85004, 0.977559, 1.078506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.8076, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2468.65, "trend": 1.201833, "fair_value": 4.38552, "relative_strength": -63.329973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.283628, "energy": 68.142697, "activity_lines": [ 0.80208, 0.833333, 0.951496, 1.050372 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }