{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80c46117-f951-40fe-b96f-6f4e59421591", "symbol": "URND", "name": "Global X Uranium UCITS ETF USD Inc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.732, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.201, "architecture_energy": 65.881, "architecture_maturity": 17.814, "architecture_confidence": 89.199, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.21, "rotation_up": 15.13, "upward_expansion": 13.16, "deceleration": 42.73, "rotation_down": 69.63, "downward_expansion": 88.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.465866, 18.912763, 20.394438, 21.196595 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.049999, "trend_reference": 22.220262, "distance_from_trend": -0.09767, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.430861, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.299344, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.533306, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.119842, "excess_performance": -0.171077, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.09767, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01145, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.299344, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.420407, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135333, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.305051, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.119842, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.333905, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30116, "relative_activity": 1.302218, "balance": 0.333905, "dry_up": 1.007526, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083192, "annualized_volatility": 0.419642, "from_high_reference": -0.27276, "from_low_reference": 0.329307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.220262, "fair_value_reference": 15.430861, 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{ "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 20.59, "volume": 11305, "typical_volume": 40494.55, "trend": 22.540183, "fair_value": 14.903788, "relative_strength": -7.924489, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.087027, "energy": 46.018335, "activity_lines": [ 21.58, 22.651727, 22.959488, 22.976071 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 21.424999, "volume": 1383, "typical_volume": 33870.3, "trend": 22.656222, "fair_value": 14.985437, "relative_strength": -3.416163, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.602161, "energy": 50.683251, "activity_lines": [ 21.401, 22.306545, 22.791191, 22.904124 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 19.785999, "volume": 3205, "typical_volume": 28965.45, "trend": 22.651868, "fair_value": 15.055859, "relative_strength": -12.087051, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.255633, "energy": 63.177255, "activity_lines": [ 20.773666, 21.694545, 22.484619, 22.718948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 19.816, "volume": 3161, "typical_volume": 25985.85, "trend": 22.612854, "fair_value": 15.128527, "relative_strength": -13.440445, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.809768, "energy": 74.480752, "activity_lines": [ 20.3256, 21.190891, 22.195162, 22.535989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.128, "volume": 26961, "typical_volume": 25665.2, "trend": 22.579958, "fair_value": 15.195619, "relative_strength": -15.052234, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.309698, "energy": 76.579371, "activity_lines": [ 19.8468, 20.659945, 21.855676, 22.311159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.094, "volume": 19581, "typical_volume": 24843.7, "trend": 22.482924, "fair_value": 15.248903, "relative_strength": -24.583938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.009922, "energy": 90.239401, "activity_lines": [ 18.828466, 19.861309, 21.346819, 21.957227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.153999, "volume": 21664, "typical_volume": 22458.95, "trend": 22.425801, "fair_value": 15.30893, "relative_strength": -20.725556, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.558221, "energy": 84.942633, "activity_lines": [ 18.396533, 19.397327, 20.974419, 21.677941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.24, "volume": 21842, "typical_volume": 22247.55, "trend": 22.32506, "fair_value": 15.361759, "relative_strength": -25.477972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.169264, "energy": 89.113508, "activity_lines": [ 17.878, 18.853363, 20.537381, 21.343373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.049999, "volume": 30116, "typical_volume": 23126.7, "trend": 22.220262, "fair_value": 15.430861, "relative_strength": -13.533306, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.20057, "energy": 65.881017, "activity_lines": [ 18.465866, 18.912763, 20.394438, 21.196595 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }