{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80d27c0d-fe22-494e-a6d3-c8ec6bac1082", "symbol": "STOWER", "name": "Sky Tower Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.899, "architecture_energy": 20.139, "architecture_maturity": 23.044, "architecture_confidence": 66.658, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.52, "rotation_up": 38.03, "upward_expansion": 62.81, "deceleration": 80.15, "rotation_down": 21.49, "downward_expansion": 12.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.034, 0.034909, 0.031476, 0.029381 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.03, "trend_reference": 0.028728, "distance_from_trend": 0.044275, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.06982, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.570321, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -19.851816, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.192325, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044275, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048671, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.570321, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181506, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.198518, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.329791, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.746272, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16534900, "relative_activity": 2.736982, "balance": 1.746272, "dry_up": 0.817723, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.435897, "annualized_volatility": 2.295509, "from_high_reference": -0.4, "from_low_reference": 2.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.028728, "fair_value_reference": 0.06982, "structural_low": 0.01, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.083334, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090856, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.500001, "worst_return": -0.090909, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.125001, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.125367, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125001, "worst_return": 0.125001, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.125001, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.082362, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125001, "worst_return": 0.125001, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.036, 0.032909, 0.028148, 0.027612 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.04, "volume": 2110700, "typical_volume": 8971902.2, "trend": 0.028061, "fair_value": 0.071935, "relative_strength": 2.205429, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.755042, "energy": 48.404314, "activity_lines": [ 0.037333, 0.034727, 0.029567, 0.028403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.03, "volume": 831300, "typical_volume": 6835067.2, "trend": 0.028061, "fair_value": 0.07123, "relative_strength": -22.652999, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.905397, "energy": 27.65651, "activity_lines": [ 0.034667, 0.034364, 0.029918, 0.028528 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.04, "volume": 283500, "typical_volume": 6791377.2, "trend": 0.028728, "fair_value": 0.070525, "relative_strength": 4.99718, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.975338, "energy": 29.064457, "activity_lines": [ 0.036, 0.035636, 0.031221, 0.029299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.03, "volume": 16534900, "typical_volume": 6041290.0, "trend": 0.028728, "fair_value": 0.06982, "relative_strength": -19.851816, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.899253, "energy": 20.138525, "activity_lines": [ 0.034, 0.034909, 0.031476, 0.029381 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }