{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80df4918-53f7-4cbe-84a1-1cc70d98acce", "symbol": "CDNS", "name": "Cadence Design Systems, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.999, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -10.111, "architecture_energy": 32.528, "architecture_maturity": 61.066, "architecture_confidence": 77.915, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.15, "rotation_up": 16.67, "upward_expansion": 45.89, "deceleration": 85.04, "rotation_down": 55.53, "downward_expansion": 39.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 5911.333333, 6175.943635, 6232.046189, 6024.059941 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5770.0, "trend_reference": 5765.222005, "distance_from_trend": 0.000829, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5490.472821, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.050911, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.007903, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.193688, "excess_performance": 0.248355, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000829, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035138, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.050911, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131724, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050079, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010023, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.193688, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.153477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3466, "relative_activity": 2.839587, "balance": 0.153477, "dry_up": 1.540021, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059929, "annualized_volatility": 0.452158, "from_high_reference": -0.190403, "from_low_reference": 0.251898 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5765.222005, "fair_value_reference": 5490.472821, "structural_low": 4609.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007618, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.038942, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.119803, "worst_return": -0.142305, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.026302, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.046592, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.235541, "worst_return": -0.115414, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.111721, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.009427, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.26738, "worst_return": -0.224787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -6.206093, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.803012, "energy": 21.873715, "activity_lines": [ 6378.595996, 6521.778906, 6260.35967, 6001.072802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5840.0, "volume": 1005, "typical_volume": 1080.6, "trend": 5753.622005, "fair_value": 5464.21641, "relative_strength": -4.191645, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.44844, "energy": 25.371982, "activity_lines": [ 6154.863997, 6394.597452, 6250.783763, 6007.045576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6011.0, "volume": 539, "typical_volume": 1068.65, "trend": 5763.655339, "fair_value": 5478.004872, "relative_strength": -1.60074, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.210539, "energy": 28.331542, "activity_lines": [ 6053.531999, 6302.325089, 6255.079285, 6023.650608 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5770.0, "volume": 3466, "typical_volume": 1220.6, "trend": 5765.222005, "fair_value": 5490.472821, "relative_strength": -5.007903, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.110842, "energy": 32.528269, "activity_lines": [ 5911.333333, 6175.943635, 6232.046189, 6024.059941 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }