{ "ticker": { "uuid": "80eecb29-03c1-4a9e-a296-a99bcdc0b0e5", "symbol": "INSW", "name": "International Seaways Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.73, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.294, "architecture_energy": 69.858, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.043, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.58, "rotation_up": 74.8, "upward_expansion": 92.76, "deceleration": 42.45, "rotation_down": 13.15, "downward_expansion": 14.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 92.374, 88.918156, 84.6038, 80.344192 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 92.41, "trend_reference": 73.808943, "distance_from_trend": 0.252016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.920359, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.057196, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 36.18363, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.648088, "excess_performance": 0.522463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.252016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216886, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.057196, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10235, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.361836, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.234801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.648088, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.971053, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2454590, "relative_activity": 0.930109, "balance": 0.971053, "dry_up": 0.919363, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081125, "annualized_volatility": 0.397523, "from_high_reference": -0.059275, "from_low_reference": 1.526356 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.808943, "fair_value_reference": 44.920359, "structural_low": 55.336389, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.036016, "positive_rate": 0.606061, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": 0.019919, "regime_survival": 0.757576, "best_return": 0.312026, "worst_return": -0.218038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.110974, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.073145, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.525977, "worst_return": -0.195582, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.239949, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.082515, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.902162, "worst_return": 0.044363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.215107, "energy": 67.285198, "activity_lines": [ 87.879333, 84.939102, 81.612165, 77.404226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 96.18, "volume": 2362111, "typical_volume": 2689526.05, "trend": 72.394089, "fair_value": 44.534876, "relative_strength": 48.642257, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.983533, "energy": 79.138031, "activity_lines": [ 91.310667, 87.426358, 83.3724, 79.052843 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.41, "volume": 2454590, "typical_volume": 2639035.15, "trend": 73.808943, "fair_value": 44.920359, "relative_strength": 36.18363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.293595, "energy": 69.858261, "activity_lines": [ 92.374, 88.918156, 84.6038, 80.344192 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }