{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "80f0c827-8032-4bc5-9b97-5a81fb3b7526",
    "symbol": "CX",
    "name": "Cemex SAB de CV ADR",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 49.186,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.858,
    "architecture_energy": 26.334,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.24,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.694,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.69,
        "rotation_up": 18.75,
        "upward_expansion": 19.27,
        "deceleration": 54.62,
        "rotation_down": 54.75,
        "downward_expansion": 41.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.902,
        12.162276,
        12.328755,
        12.189965
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 11.33,
    "trend_reference": 12.124103,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.065498,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.191231,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.383186,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.77357,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.06704,
    "excess_performance": -0.192665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065498,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036702,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.383186,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.30864,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097736,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.276144,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.06704,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.584292,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 40036310,
      "relative_activity": 1.488795,
      "balance": 0.584292,
      "dry_up": 1.343952,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.078858,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.34482,
      "from_high_reference": -0.169127,
      "from_low_reference": 0.354387
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.124103,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.191231,
      "structural_low": 9.87557,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.038517,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028629,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
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        "worst_return": -0.168553,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.201511,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.12479,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059678,
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        "worst_return": -0.246851,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.452141,
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 8.073031,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.97,
        "volume": 31230453,
        "typical_volume": 27754907.5,
        "trend": 12.143947,
        "fair_value": 8.109884,
        "relative_strength": 8.280897,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.728989,
        "energy": 19.125842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.06,
        "volume": 37665473,
        "typical_volume": 27542356.65,
        "trend": 12.148442,
        "fair_value": 8.139281,
        "relative_strength": 0.905394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.890068,
        "energy": 11.118698,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.432,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.82,
        "volume": 35632621,
        "typical_volume": 26512947.3,
        "trend": 12.158541,
        "fair_value": 8.167201,
        "relative_strength": -2.439844,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.931055,
        "energy": 5.621403,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.233333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.33,
        "volume": 40036310,
        "typical_volume": 26891747.8,
        "trend": 12.124103,
        "fair_value": 8.191231,
        "relative_strength": -9.77357,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.858162,
        "energy": 26.334097,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.902,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}