{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "80f2c584-c2fe-4969-a283-f85535bcdadb",
    "symbol": "DKG",
    "name": "Deutsche Konsum Real Estate AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.503,
    "architecture_energy": 55.968,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.826,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.21,
        "rotation_up": 20.89,
        "upward_expansion": 8.97,
        "deceleration": 52.82,
        "rotation_down": 59.89,
        "downward_expansion": 82.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.304667,
        1.339091,
        1.436286,
        1.51028
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.28,
    "trend_reference": 1.602167,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.201082,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.797244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.542407,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -32.121333,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.257971,
    "excess_performance": -0.322611,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201082,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085608,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.542407,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03244,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.321213,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108488,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.257971,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.379246,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18440,
      "relative_activity": 0.551294,
      "balance": 1.379246,
      "dry_up": 1.240345,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.097656,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.291112,
      "from_high_reference": -0.412844,
      "from_low_reference": 0.153153
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.602167,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.797244,
      "structural_low": 1.11,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 56,
        "median_return": -0.029029,
        "positive_rate": 0.303571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.660714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025117,
        "regime_survival": 0.910714,
        "best_return": 0.139932,
        "worst_return": -0.455836,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.110281,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.135917,
        "regime_survival": 0.888889,
        "best_return": 0.496241,
        "worst_return": -0.442642,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.209581,
        "positive_rate": 0.111111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.205459,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.353383,
        "worst_return": -0.468121,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.401869,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.470434,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": -0.176692,
        "worst_return": -0.579593,
        "sufficient": true
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2021-11-12",
        "end": "2021-12-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057047,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2021-12-10",
        "end": "2021-12-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2021-12-24",
        "end": "2023-02-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.399744,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-03-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.177057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.48303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.155425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.083942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.12,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "return": 0.056391,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.17301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.080863,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.10231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.583062,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 64.94807,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 30232.7,
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        "relative_strength": -33.792259,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 41445,
        "typical_volume": 28987.35,
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        "fair_value": 2.918333,
        "relative_strength": -32.017851,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 86.404171,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 108062,
        "typical_volume": 33892.4,
        "trend": 1.6515,
        "fair_value": 2.888558,
        "relative_strength": -26.115276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.045625,
        "energy": 80.301034,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.335,
          1.423,
          1.509381,
          1.574344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.35,
        "volume": 25819,
        "typical_volume": 34430.7,
        "trend": 1.6365,
        "fair_value": 2.858622,
        "relative_strength": -26.504352,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.282033,
        "energy": 76.536355,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.329333,
          1.398273,
          1.487214,
          1.554892
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.285,
        "volume": 13630,
        "typical_volume": 33187.95,
        "trend": 1.62,
        "fair_value": 2.828782,
        "relative_strength": -30.740292,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.076232,
        "energy": 66.516532,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.314333,
          1.366,
          1.460738,
          1.532215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.28,
        "volume": 18440,
        "typical_volume": 33448.55,
        "trend": 1.602167,
        "fair_value": 2.797244,
        "relative_strength": -32.121333,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.503404,
        "energy": 55.967868,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.304667,
          1.339091,
          1.436286,
          1.51028
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}