{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81156715-80c0-4dd2-8c88-83ecf53daa19", "symbol": "NAVKARCORP", "name": "Navkar Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.28, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.703, "architecture_energy": 18.834, "architecture_maturity": 40.533, "architecture_confidence": 75.451, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.06, "rotation_up": 25.97, "upward_expansion": 56.5, "deceleration": 87.38, "rotation_down": 32.13, "downward_expansion": 20.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 102.319335, 104.380547, 102.505477, 100.059764 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 99.620003, "trend_reference": 97.919333, "distance_from_trend": 0.017368, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 107.641795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074523, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.34821, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.009321, "excess_performance": 0.05303, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017368, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011055, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.074523, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046915, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012342, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.009321, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.353102, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1670457, "relative_activity": 0.518534, "balance": 0.353102, "dry_up": 1.907572, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083541, "annualized_volatility": 0.411419, "from_high_reference": -0.248151, "from_low_reference": 0.345307 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.919333, "fair_value_reference": 107.641795, "structural_low": 74.050003, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.014615, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": 0.031567, "regime_survival": 0.55, "best_return": 0.540408, "worst_return": -0.239935, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.012504, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00085, "regime_survival": 0.1, "best_return": 0.579258, "worst_return": -0.18263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.0552, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068718, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.595659, "worst_return": -0.230543, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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107.160128, "relative_strength": 1.680977, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.055629, "energy": 36.790377, "activity_lines": [ 106.056001, 105.260546, 102.027524, 99.619505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 102.720001, "volume": 1665515, "typical_volume": 3238707.75, "trend": 97.781333, "fair_value": 107.389423, "relative_strength": 0.063911, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.762206, "energy": 22.796091, "activity_lines": [ 104.454001, 105.173637, 102.452762, 99.94114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.620003, "volume": 1670457, "typical_volume": 3221498.85, "trend": 97.919333, "fair_value": 107.641795, "relative_strength": -3.34821, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.703188, "energy": 18.833587, "activity_lines": [ 102.319335, 104.380547, 102.505477, 100.059764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }