{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "81170937-0d49-436b-b6f4-6c324be7a771",
    "symbol": "GXI",
    "name": "Gerresheimer AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 42.54,
    "architecture_energy": 28.325,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.51,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.423,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.12,
        "rotation_up": 39.35,
        "upward_expansion": 64.65,
        "deceleration": 63.08,
        "rotation_down": 24.07,
        "downward_expansion": 14.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.14,
        27.145091,
        26.380714,
        25.085161
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 26.299999,
    "trend_reference": 23.959667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.097678,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.15603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.596354,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.483312,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.024942,
    "excess_performance": -0.039698,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097678,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009437,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.596354,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022602,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114833,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075785,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024942,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.2608,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 663828,
      "relative_activity": 0.716227,
      "balance": 1.2608,
      "dry_up": 1.030742,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.102896,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.770193,
      "from_high_reference": -0.437072,
      "from_low_reference": 0.773432
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.959667,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.15603,
      "structural_low": 14.83,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.037367,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017338,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.173745,
        "worst_return": -0.182155,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.007686,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023871,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.28405,
        "worst_return": -0.184386,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.172336,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192297,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.587044,
        "worst_return": -0.228959,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.368166,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.197799,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.326958,
        "worst_return": -0.463878,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1237026.25,
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 67.207299,
        "relative_strength": -4.839567,
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        "direction": 68.693584,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 29.059999,
        "volume": 588219,
        "typical_volume": 1086921.85,
        "trend": 24.025667,
        "fair_value": 66.711809,
        "relative_strength": -0.746642,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.144998,
        "energy": 73.872213,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.077333,
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          25.695952,
          24.563032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 26.280001,
        "volume": 759321,
        "typical_volume": 1045559.05,
        "trend": 24.005,
        "fair_value": 66.1966,
        "relative_strength": -9.731185,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.310682,
        "energy": 60.259868,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.688,
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          25.922381,
          24.708473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.54,
        "volume": 1809964,
        "typical_volume": 1049019.45,
        "trend": 23.996333,
        "fair_value": 65.717322,
        "relative_strength": -6.243756,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.147425,
        "energy": 40.973665,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.673333,
          27.261454,
          26.234095,
          24.936538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.299999,
        "volume": 663828,
        "typical_volume": 926840.15,
        "trend": 23.959667,
        "fair_value": 65.15603,
        "relative_strength": -11.483312,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.540163,
        "energy": 28.325485,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.14,
          27.145091,
          26.380714,
          25.085161
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}