{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8117604e-7f29-4b45-9ab2-4e2d2ca6f66a", "symbol": "6219", "name": "Full Wang International Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.875, "architecture_energy": 37.53, "architecture_maturity": 73.786, "architecture_confidence": 90.391, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.53, "rotation_up": 21.08, "upward_expansion": 3.55, "deceleration": 53.8, "rotation_down": 55.07, "downward_expansion": 79.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.49, 12.683636, 12.752381, 13.148387 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 12.15, "trend_reference": 13.888333, "distance_from_trend": -0.125165, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.552892, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.542423, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -49.648339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.223642, "excess_performance": -0.665014, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125165, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148651, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.542423, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012308, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.496483, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088995, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.223642, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.628351, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 506550, "relative_activity": 0.299858, "balance": 1.628351, "dry_up": 0.637305, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083254, "annualized_volatility": 0.316862, "from_high_reference": -0.485169, "from_low_reference": 0.065789 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.888333, "fair_value_reference": 26.552892, "structural_low": 11.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.018265, "positive_rate": 0.378378, "directional_follow_through": 0.621622, "median_excess_return": -0.032394, "regime_survival": 0.918919, "best_return": 0.124309, "worst_return": -0.203226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.076726, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.101336, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.192825, "worst_return": -0.247789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.265605, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.198618, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.393315, "worst_return": -0.362434, 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.45, "volume": 923682, "typical_volume": 1833113.1, "trend": 14.408333, "fair_value": 26.622569, "relative_strength": -47.395322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.007221, "energy": 32.770014, "activity_lines": [ 12.8, 12.870909, 12.903571, 13.397849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.55, "volume": 403000, "typical_volume": 1729842.7, "trend": 14.158333, "fair_value": 26.593109, "relative_strength": -47.298392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.731247, "energy": 32.026781, "activity_lines": [ 12.69, 12.818182, 12.841429, 13.277957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.15, "volume": 506550, "typical_volume": 1689297.0, "trend": 13.888333, "fair_value": 26.552892, "relative_strength": -49.648339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.874526, "energy": 37.529761, "activity_lines": [ 12.49, 12.683636, 12.752381, 13.148387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }