{ "ticker": { "uuid": "811e457e-5138-4507-a2e4-028153c12ae9", "symbol": "KPEL", "name": "K.P. Energy Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -32.439, "architecture_energy": 59.632, "architecture_maturity": 8.32, "architecture_confidence": 82.951, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.52, "rotation_up": 14.21, "upward_expansion": 27.68, "deceleration": 49.36, "rotation_down": 72.16, "downward_expansion": 57.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 307.716665, 320.218181, 333.711381, 328.072743 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 302.5, "trend_reference": 319.768506, "distance_from_trend": -0.054003, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 399.288738, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.242403, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.232588, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.043478, "excess_performance": 0.000231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054003, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037927, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.242403, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230513, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132326, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200473, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.043478, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.29351, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1018192, "relative_activity": 0.715403, "balance": 0.29351, "dry_up": 0.567769, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072982, "annualized_volatility": 0.472242, "from_high_reference": -0.346157, "from_low_reference": 0.271543 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 319.768506, "fair_value_reference": 399.288738, "structural_low": 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0.624087, "energy": 10.974312, "activity_lines": [ 332.370001, 339.765456, 341.436907, 331.586435 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 302.799988, "volume": 881772, "typical_volume": 1575493.2, "trend": 322.349529, "fair_value": 401.437346, "relative_strength": -11.866178, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.28829, "energy": 31.075124, "activity_lines": [ 320.619997, 332.131817, 338.928239, 330.235572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 307.0, "volume": 698942, "typical_volume": 1432525.35, "trend": 320.674332, "fair_value": 400.376252, "relative_strength": -11.965767, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.769804, "energy": 45.743303, "activity_lines": [ 313.519997, 326.10909, 336.598619, 329.24528 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 302.5, "volume": 1018192, "typical_volume": 1423243.4, "trend": 319.768506, "fair_value": 399.288738, "relative_strength": -13.232588, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.438954, "energy": 59.631575, "activity_lines": [ 307.716665, 320.218181, 333.711381, 328.072743 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }