{ "ticker": { "uuid": "812fdb9e-f92a-43ed-ac38-88de9dc41833", "symbol": "WOEE", "name": "iShares World Equity Enhanced Active UCITS ETF USD (Acc)", "exchange": "AMS", "country": "NL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.26, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.488, "architecture_energy": 68.628, "architecture_maturity": 54.49, "architecture_confidence": 77.9, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.01, "rotation_up": 61.4, "upward_expansion": 84.37, "deceleration": 63.2, "rotation_down": 25.88, "downward_expansion": 11.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.223067, 7.174509, 7.098014, 6.967413 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.421, "trend_reference": 6.815363, "distance_from_trend": 0.088863, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.968293, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.243404, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.775616, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129133, "excess_performance": 0.01247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088863, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039376, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.243404, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03735, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007756, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047461, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129133, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.683377, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228404, "relative_activity": 1.412171, "balance": 0.683377, "dry_up": 0.9752, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017031, "annualized_volatility": 0.130267, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.251054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.815363, "fair_value_reference": 5.968293, "structural_low": 6.0525, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.012254, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.015378, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.050214, "worst_return": -0.032768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.063998, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.047275, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.063998, "worst_return": 0.063998, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.032768, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.016309, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.039963, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008476, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", 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"fair_value": 5.931527, "relative_strength": -1.630374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.046423, "energy": 59.187926, "activity_lines": [ 7.127933, 7.117145, 6.998642, 6.8797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.104, "volume": 99279, "typical_volume": 162522.25, "trend": 6.764657, "fair_value": 5.942911, "relative_strength": -1.631155, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.883952, "energy": 57.009503, "activity_lines": [ 7.123, 7.117091, 7.02417, 6.902909 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.13, "volume": 178429, "typical_volume": 163097.7, "trend": 6.786533, "fair_value": 5.954325, "relative_strength": -2.08469, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.450547, "energy": 51.831019, "activity_lines": [ 7.128267, 7.119709, 7.04908, 6.92648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.421, "volume": 228404, "typical_volume": 161739.6, "trend": 6.815363, "fair_value": 5.968293, "relative_strength": 0.775616, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.487631, "energy": 68.628457, "activity_lines": [ 7.223067, 7.174509, 7.098014, 6.967413 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }