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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.707, "architecture_energy": 65.988, "architecture_maturity": 54.789, "architecture_confidence": 79.435, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.83, "rotation_up": 71.11, "upward_expansion": 85.44, "deceleration": 56.52, "rotation_down": 18.47, "downward_expansion": 9.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.274667, 34.879072, 32.488517, 30.193496 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 40.360001, "trend_reference": 27.34874, "distance_from_trend": 0.475754, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.30189, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.822005, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 58.243303, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.010385, "excess_performance": 0.889963, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.475754, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.24215, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.822005, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.618514, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.582433, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.010385, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.07545, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 520700, "relative_activity": 2.229263, "balance": 1.07545, "dry_up": 1.420529, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084064, "annualized_volatility": 0.448065, "from_high_reference": -0.001731, "from_low_reference": 1.703143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.34874, "fair_value_reference": 14.30189, "structural_low": 18.620001, 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"direction": 69.250138, "energy": 60.42436, "activity_lines": [ 33.256621, 32.41767, 29.661756, 27.688036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.32, "volume": 299600, "typical_volume": 211185.0, "trend": 25.615138, "fair_value": 13.740981, "relative_strength": 35.330527, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.431501, "energy": 53.627139, "activity_lines": [ 33.029334, 32.60786, 30.122256, 28.150866 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.099998, "volume": 296900, "typical_volume": 215765.0, "trend": 26.164838, "fair_value": 13.91614, "relative_strength": 44.944287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.292754, "energy": 58.048632, "activity_lines": [ 33.747333, 33.204744, 30.810024, 28.762792 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.66, "volume": 210000, "typical_volume": 217075.0, "trend": 26.67925, "fair_value": 14.090093, "relative_strength": 42.3027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.690743, "energy": 52.918329, "activity_lines": [ 34.144666, 33.570689, 31.405629, 29.310867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.360001, "volume": 520700, "typical_volume": 233575.0, "trend": 27.34874, "fair_value": 14.30189, "relative_strength": 58.243303, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.707237, "energy": 65.987518, "activity_lines": [ 36.274667, 34.879072, 32.488517, 30.193496 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }