{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "814d696d-c470-4866-89ba-080f26c27147",
    "symbol": "4537",
    "name": "Shuz Tung Machinery Industrial Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -15.056,
    "architecture_energy": 31.338,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.38,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.913,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.02,
        "rotation_up": 14.12,
        "upward_expansion": 43.84,
        "deceleration": 79.09,
        "rotation_down": 51.23,
        "downward_expansion": 37.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        133.366667,
        147.02787,
        156.937229,
        147.991627
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 120.5,
    "trend_reference": 130.536517,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.076887,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.173962,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.401644,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.460958,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.473711,
    "excess_performance": 0.032339,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076887,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.397337,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.401644,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -2.03171,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04461,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.126315,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.473711,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.364993,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 512672,
      "relative_activity": 0.37454,
      "balance": 0.364993,
      "dry_up": 0.625293,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.199845,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.918657,
      "from_high_reference": -0.41195,
      "from_low_reference": 2.964477
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 130.536517,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.173962,
      "structural_low": 67.40741,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.032967,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007176,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.358392,
        "worst_return": -0.148897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.066541,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024226,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.597386,
        "worst_return": -0.22323,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.052198,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155054,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 3.143791,
        "worst_return": -0.209946,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.031746,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139764,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.133533,
        "worst_return": -0.197025,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.043933,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.085153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.30597,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 442012,
        "typical_volume": 1360526.8,
        "trend": 123.430249,
        "fair_value": 48.390624,
        "relative_strength": 42.180877,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.218225,
        "energy": 24.306234,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 121.5,
        "volume": 1875875,
        "typical_volume": 1403219.05,
        "trend": 125.79174,
        "fair_value": 48.943801,
        "relative_strength": 14.59417,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.378168,
        "energy": 17.201736,
        "activity_lines": [
          147.966572,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 142.0,
        "volume": 593060,
        "typical_volume": 1400334.95,
        "trend": 128.500857,
        "fair_value": 49.617656,
        "relative_strength": 28.73674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.398097,
        "energy": 20.938894,
        "activity_lines": [
          143.133333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 120.5,
        "volume": 512672,
        "typical_volume": 1368805.55,
        "trend": 130.536517,
        "fair_value": 50.173962,
        "relative_strength": 4.460958,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -15.055603,
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          133.366667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}