{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81672c11-55cd-44b9-9909-106f9ae62bcb", "symbol": "300376", "name": "East Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.906, "architecture_energy": 73.032, "architecture_maturity": 35.099, "architecture_confidence": 92.881, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.69, "rotation_up": 13.74, "upward_expansion": 16.59, "deceleration": 38.87, "rotation_down": 68.69, "downward_expansion": 89.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.661845, 4.889915, 5.219267, 5.580316 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.76, "trend_reference": 6.053969, "distance_from_trend": -0.213739, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.889838, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.026553, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.240448, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.28849, "excess_performance": -0.29589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.213739, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043506, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.026553, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230422, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.202404, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127803, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.28849, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.236293, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113923582, "relative_activity": 0.884782, "balance": 0.236293, "dry_up": 0.889749, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11512, "annualized_volatility": 0.516209, "from_high_reference": -0.43934, "from_low_reference": 0.205063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.053969, "fair_value_reference": 4.889838, "structural_low": 4.368036, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.001835, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003154, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.302158, "worst_return": -0.32843, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.023702, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.099035, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.54023, "worst_return": -0.523722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.047363, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.060607, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.57004, "worst_return": -0.537286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"trend": 6.219035, "fair_value": 4.923017, "relative_strength": -20.455851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.283864, "energy": 80.926399, "activity_lines": [ 4.988605, 5.224624, 5.554594, 5.880743 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.398023, "volume": 120831590, "typical_volume": 141988628.0, "trend": 6.163969, "fair_value": 4.91066, "relative_strength": -23.60368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.835223, "energy": 85.94018, "activity_lines": [ 4.724543, 5.051154, 5.407591, 5.763258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.68, "volume": 112852045, "typical_volume": 130392197.55, "trend": 6.111636, "fair_value": 4.899399, "relative_strength": -17.461937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.878915, "energy": 79.053824, "activity_lines": [ 4.663938, 4.95699, 5.302929, 5.667518 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.76, "volume": 113923582, "typical_volume": 128758948.3, "trend": 6.053969, "fair_value": 4.889838, "relative_strength": -20.240448, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.906142, "energy": 73.031962, "activity_lines": [ 4.661845, 4.889915, 5.219267, 5.580316 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }