{ "ticker": { "uuid": "817c8e51-959e-45ea-ba79-edead81b57c2", "symbol": "XDPP", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 UCITS ETF 4C - USD", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.354, "architecture_energy": 55.899, "architecture_maturity": 81.181, "architecture_confidence": 64.047, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.99, "rotation_up": 48.36, "upward_expansion": 79.89, "deceleration": 71.47, "rotation_down": 29.25, "downward_expansion": 8.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.8968, 10.876491, 10.771881, 10.55686 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.147, "trend_reference": 10.2986, "distance_from_trend": 0.08238, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.686865, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283202, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.977943, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.140825, "excess_performance": 0.08959, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08238, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03388, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.283202, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02252, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.019779, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01566, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.140825, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.182807, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95307, "relative_activity": 0.222754, "balance": 1.182807, "dry_up": 0.328989, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018708, "annualized_volatility": 0.121962, "from_high_reference": -0.146968, "from_low_reference": 0.223198 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.2986, "fair_value_reference": 8.686865, "structural_low": 9.3453, "invalidation": "A 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10.610664, 10.260243, 10.130805 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 10.755, "volume": 74636, "typical_volume": 451760.95, "trend": 10.027467, "fair_value": 8.46516, "relative_strength": 2.903166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.308969, "energy": 86.088181, "activity_lines": [ 10.816267, 10.676291, 10.326652, 10.179598 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 10.977, "volume": 34397, "typical_volume": 445121.8, "trend": 10.070967, "fair_value": 8.494413, "relative_strength": 5.943027, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.294075, "energy": 79.738833, "activity_lines": [ 10.8692, 10.761327, 10.409852, 10.240858 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 10.814, "volume": 6969, "typical_volume": 441172.2, "trend": 10.099867, "fair_value": 8.521728, "relative_strength": 2.839418, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.025019, "energy": 65.510313, "activity_lines": [ 10.855667, 10.795545, 10.47169, 10.288796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 10.887, "volume": 1770, "typical_volume": 418798.6, "trend": 10.13145, "fair_value": 8.550173, "relative_strength": 1.827485, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.515511, "energy": 65.423358, "activity_lines": [ 10.865333, 10.831327, 10.535514, 10.339578 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.915, "volume": 173508, "typical_volume": 410455.0, "trend": 10.167117, "fair_value": 8.578737, "relative_strength": 3.766541, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.83097, "energy": 65.991994, "activity_lines": [ 10.884933, 10.860218, 10.5964, 10.39013 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.773, "volume": 156252, "typical_volume": 416644.3, "trend": 10.198, "fair_value": 8.605205, "relative_strength": 1.387786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.55618, "energy": 60.07287, "activity_lines": [ 10.852733, 10.852091, 10.63865, 10.429219 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.824, "volume": 102873, "typical_volume": 419082.0, "trend": 10.230067, "fair_value": 8.631686, "relative_strength": 0.562677, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.339973, "energy": 54.519614, "activity_lines": [ 10.836333, 10.848145, 10.681395, 10.469606 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.696, "volume": 208609, "typical_volume": 427741.2, "trend": 10.2605, "fair_value": 8.657615, "relative_strength": -1.810033, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.877999, "energy": 41.951114, "activity_lines": [ 10.787467, 10.8204, 10.707502, 10.499667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.147, "volume": 95307, "typical_volume": 427856.8, "trend": 10.2986, "fair_value": 8.686865, "relative_strength": 1.977943, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.354183, "energy": 55.899177, "activity_lines": [ 10.8968, 10.876491, 10.771881, 10.55686 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }