{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "8188a4e1-5149-4bd0-bf3e-bb3d5aff14da",
    "symbol": "ALPWG",
    "name": "PRODWAYS GROUP",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.224,
    "architecture_energy": 37.93,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.201,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.494,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.81,
        "rotation_up": 54.28,
        "upward_expansion": 77.75,
        "deceleration": 59.48,
        "rotation_down": 21.5,
        "downward_expansion": 6.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.8192,
        0.810145,
        0.7984,
        0.775437
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.766,
    "trend_reference": 0.727133,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.053452,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.758449,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.009956,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.564446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.40293,
    "excess_performance": 0.349619,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053452,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110579,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009956,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054428,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035644,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110517,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.40293,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.436472,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 535393,
      "relative_activity": 0.920262,
      "balance": 0.436472,
      "dry_up": 0.661806,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070496,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.556948,
      "from_high_reference": -0.154525,
      "from_low_reference": 0.490272
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.727133,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.758449,
      "structural_low": 0.518,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.010667,
        "positive_rate": 0.352941,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.352941,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039156,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.168224,
        "worst_return": -0.256785,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.054346,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070847,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.233677,
        "worst_return": -0.160287,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.109966,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027247,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.266667,
        "worst_return": -0.127451,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.09,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127728,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.205882,
        "worst_return": -0.603794,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.330456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
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        "return": -0.154839,
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 635511.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.836,
        "volume": 152101,
        "typical_volume": 602034.4,
        "trend": 0.719933,
        "fair_value": 0.765769,
        "relative_strength": 15.486872,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.244355,
        "energy": 74.934419,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.841867,
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          0.80061,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.766,
        "volume": 535393,
        "typical_volume": 581783.05,
        "trend": 0.727133,
        "fair_value": 0.758449,
        "relative_strength": 3.564446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.223501,
        "energy": 37.929855,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}