{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8188e4de-46e9-4bd2-a027-0938e401adeb", "symbol": "UJJIVANSFB", "name": "Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.187, "architecture_energy": 86.88, "architecture_maturity": 18.343, "architecture_confidence": 83.477, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.95, "rotation_up": 83.6, "upward_expansion": 99.17, "deceleration": 39.01, "rotation_down": 8.17, "downward_expansion": 21.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.649333, 65.742545, 61.718857, 60.260387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 70.110001, "trend_reference": 59.451333, "distance_from_trend": 0.179284, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.652157, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.441046, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.210896, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115336, "excess_performance": 0.159045, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.179284, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048635, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.441046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108463, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272109, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028751, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115336, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.715772, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71982837, "relative_activity": 1.033693, "balance": 1.715772, "dry_up": 1.964563, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065096, "annualized_volatility": 0.400528, "from_high_reference": -0.043389, "from_low_reference": 0.696757 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.451333, "fair_value_reference": 48.652157, "structural_low": 49.240002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.054674, "positive_rate": 0.68, "directional_follow_through": 0.68, "median_excess_return": 0.018071, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.168, "worst_return": -0.112113, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.058169, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.048642, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.480369, "worst_return": -0.06072, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.219765, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.164268, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.627515, "worst_return": -0.031963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.289862, "energy": 64.04984, "activity_lines": [ 62.255331, 59.302726, 57.964857, 57.875742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 70.720001, "volume": 245323424, "typical_volume": 66347995.5, "trend": 58.557667, "fair_value": 48.354877, "relative_strength": 35.235556, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.902828, "energy": 85.6711, "activity_lines": [ 65.617999, 61.72109, 59.283476, 58.698451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.75, "volume": 133130492, "typical_volume": 69814290.2, "trend": 59.092333, "fair_value": 48.511408, "relative_strength": 32.369283, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.33522, "energy": 88.637364, "activity_lines": [ 68.427332, 64.055999, 60.629428, 59.54957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.110001, "volume": 71982837, "typical_volume": 69636581.5, "trend": 59.451333, "fair_value": 48.652157, "relative_strength": 27.210896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.186726, "energy": 86.88019, "activity_lines": [ 69.649333, 65.742545, 61.718857, 60.260387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }