{ "ticker": { "uuid": "818dda2b-aafa-4e69-acf7-bfa49216cbeb", "symbol": "8111", "name": "Ligitek Electronics Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.064, "architecture_energy": 20.998, "architecture_maturity": 74.398, "architecture_confidence": 74.899, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.61, "rotation_up": 30.24, "upward_expansion": 17.93, "deceleration": 46.85, "rotation_down": 26.66, "downward_expansion": 56.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.943333, 55.381818, 57.684838, 59.627428 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 55.5, "trend_reference": 61.836489, "distance_from_trend": -0.102472, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.408396, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340308, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.418311, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.123488, "excess_performance": -0.56486, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102472, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068024, "read": "Falling" 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44.099998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.011714, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.374251, "worst_return": -0.180751, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.071806, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.005034, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.81268, "worst_return": -0.127978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.213836, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.043775, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.533141, "worst_return": -0.165673, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": -45.738846, "energy": 31.299724, "activity_lines": [ 54.976666, 54.723384, 58.297497, 60.277401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.400002, "volume": 61330862, "typical_volume": 22724261.0, "trend": 62.285106, "fair_value": 41.160735, "relative_strength": -28.984071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.606379, "energy": 18.67729, "activity_lines": [ 56.813333, 55.356228, 58.164959, 60.065177 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 55.5, "volume": 14737596, "typical_volume": 23093747.6, "trend": 61.836489, "fair_value": 41.408396, "relative_strength": -35.418311, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.063524, "energy": 20.997801, "activity_lines": [ 56.943333, 55.381818, 57.684838, 59.627428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }