{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81921ba2-1b3f-497b-a1d9-42e4b7c88a9d", "symbol": "SHIVATEX", "name": "Shiva Texyarn Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.754, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 11.588, "architecture_energy": 12.125, "architecture_maturity": 11.724, "architecture_confidence": 78.682, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.64, "rotation_up": 44.33, "upward_expansion": 31.52, "deceleration": 39.82, "rotation_down": 21.11, "downward_expansion": 20.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 158.550665, 154.846544, 156.401237, 155.744644 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 162.619995, "trend_reference": 156.904665, "distance_from_trend": 0.036425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 176.820668, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080311, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.093858, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.07228, "excess_performance": -0.028571, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036425, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060427, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.080311, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020939, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034877, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07228, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.665022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11734, "relative_activity": 0.536656, "balance": 1.665022, "dry_up": 1.261705, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092046, "annualized_volatility": 0.381331, "from_high_reference": -0.253763, "from_low_reference": 0.290021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 156.904665, "fair_value_reference": 176.820668, "structural_low": 126.059998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.019465, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.010777, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.270026, "worst_return": -0.209631, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.013172, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.03713, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.198394, "worst_return": -0.31798, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.059913, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064202, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.173451, 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{ "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 148.279999, "volume": 20867, "typical_volume": 21293.45, "trend": 158.929998, "fair_value": 176.517727, "relative_strength": -10.731492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.461564, "energy": 29.21915, "activity_lines": [ 149.673999, 151.082908, 154.497046, 155.363611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 154.919998, "volume": 7276, "typical_volume": 21021.85, "trend": 158.061332, "fair_value": 176.557715, "relative_strength": -4.097229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.693293, "energy": 18.204584, "activity_lines": [ 151.443332, 150.989089, 154.694141, 155.104902 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 162.660004, "volume": 70472, "typical_volume": 23952.5, "trend": 157.302665, "fair_value": 176.666164, "relative_strength": -1.548795, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.721583, "energy": 7.196566, "activity_lines": [ 155.546, 152.834181, 155.598523, 155.40159 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 162.619995, "volume": 11734, "typical_volume": 21865.05, "trend": 156.904665, "fair_value": 176.820668, "relative_strength": -2.093858, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.588488, "energy": 12.124681, "activity_lines": [ 158.550665, 154.846544, 156.401237, 155.744644 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }