{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8195a1cb-844e-47a8-914f-5ba80e089c30", "symbol": "8103", "name": "CviLux Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.097, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.817, "architecture_energy": 31.473, "architecture_maturity": 6.559, "architecture_confidence": 91.605, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.73, "rotation_up": 21.54, "upward_expansion": 5.93, "deceleration": 46.89, "rotation_down": 47.68, "downward_expansion": 74.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.1, 83.537351, 89.538786, 90.878659 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 94.0, "trend_reference": 91.90929, "distance_from_trend": 0.022748, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.417585, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.505986, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.18541, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114606, "excess_performance": -0.460338, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022748, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002962, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.505986, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.256011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181854, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11011, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114606, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.20855, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17056724, "relative_activity": 1.777444, "balance": 1.20855, "dry_up": 0.805877, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125512, "annualized_volatility": 0.629358, "from_high_reference": -0.289739, "from_low_reference": 0.707554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.90929, "fair_value_reference": 62.417585, "structural_low": 66.300003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.031928, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.008395, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.192848, "worst_return": -0.239806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.056457, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.038056, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.178706, "worst_return": -0.102273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.064089, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.021747, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.147152, "worst_return": -0.137173, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 77.886664, 83.666188, 90.763831, 91.598976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 78.900002, "volume": 3244099, "typical_volume": 8904662.6, "trend": 91.810696, "fair_value": 62.058038, "relative_strength": -32.471589, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.612695, "energy": 68.329883, "activity_lines": [ 77.633332, 82.056078, 89.425513, 90.737413 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 94.0, "volume": 17056724, "typical_volume": 9596207.15, "trend": 91.90929, "fair_value": 62.417585, "relative_strength": -18.18541, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.817423, "energy": 31.472715, "activity_lines": [ 83.1, 83.537351, 89.538786, 90.878659 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }