{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81aa822a-0023-4449-ac47-f05c7a044206", "symbol": "APPS1", "name": "DIGITAL TURBINE INC", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.179, "architecture_energy": 77.339, "architecture_maturity": 54.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.156, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.03, "rotation_up": 76.77, "upward_expansion": 78.33, "deceleration": 77.17, "rotation_down": 8.04, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 161.333333, 143.454545, 126.488095, 116.741935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 240.0, "trend_reference": 105.983333, "distance_from_trend": 1.264507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.720098, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.973237, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 132.414405, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.651934, "excess_performance": 1.7066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 1.264507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102691, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.973237, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.751461, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.324144, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.432435, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.651934, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6562, "relative_activity": 6.473954, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.618489, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047917, "annualized_volatility": 1.010378, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.774566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 105.983333, "fair_value_reference": 80.720098, "structural_low": 90.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.967213, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 64.599998, "volume": 6617, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, 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113.409091, 104.0, 100.255484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 122.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.5, "trend": 97.946666, "fair_value": 77.375773, "relative_strength": 21.902668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.333046, "energy": 88.565339, "activity_lines": [ 122.0, 116.272727, 106.25, 101.843871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 122.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.5, "trend": 98.513333, "fair_value": 77.831122, "relative_strength": 22.735499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.996825, "energy": 68.092281, "activity_lines": [ 122.0, 118.563636, 108.35, 103.395699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 122.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.5, "trend": 99.413333, "fair_value": 78.277272, "relative_strength": 22.301567, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.646162, "energy": 67.583458, "activity_lines": [ 122.0, 120.281818, 110.3, 104.910968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 122.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.5, "trend": 100.206667, "fair_value": 78.7145, "relative_strength": 22.523986, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.255946, "energy": 66.978421, "activity_lines": [ 122.0, 121.427273, 112.1, 106.368172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 685.5, "trend": 101.0, "fair_value": 79.143069, "relative_strength": 21.316422, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.329634, "energy": 64.710692, "activity_lines": [ 122.0, 122.0, 113.75, 107.774194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 240.0, "volume": 6562, "typical_volume": 1013.6, "trend": 105.983333, "fair_value": 80.720098, "relative_strength": 132.414405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.178951, "energy": 77.338741, "activity_lines": [ 161.333333, 143.454545, 126.488095, 116.741935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }