{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "81bfa89f-4262-40bc-9eaf-c71636abda15",
    "symbol": "WOR",
    "name": "Worthington Industries Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 73.129,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.731,
    "architecture_energy": 25.109,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.76,
    "architecture_confidence": 43.657,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.08,
        "rotation_up": 38.04,
        "upward_expansion": 68.08,
        "deceleration": 68.53,
        "rotation_down": 25.7,
        "downward_expansion": 6.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.716667,
        56.539289,
        56.197651,
        55.441336
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 58.42,
    "trend_reference": 54.834887,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06538,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.83986,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.149098,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.76151,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.004388,
    "excess_performance": -0.130013,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06538,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018874,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149098,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050554,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067615,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08561,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004388,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.226013,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 980448,
      "relative_activity": 0.843909,
      "balance": 1.226013,
      "dry_up": 0.912089,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068341,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.267468,
      "from_high_reference": -0.126695,
      "from_low_reference": 0.302054
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.834887,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.83986,
      "structural_low": 44.867563,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.000906,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010802,
        "regime_survival": 0.411765,
        "best_return": 0.412396,
        "worst_return": -0.193723,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.0124,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036132,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.552596,
        "worst_return": -0.141914,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.177464,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.135259,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.491723,
        "worst_return": -0.117559,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.13758,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02226,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.417859,
        "worst_return": -0.125584,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.070445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.100019,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.049137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.216645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007721,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.092583,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.151402,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.157641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039317,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "fair_value": 49.012704,
        "relative_strength": -12.02551,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 896908.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 53.211076,
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        "fair_value": 49.521228,
        "relative_strength": -16.627538,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 8.369184,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 54.965506,
        "volume": 746847,
        "typical_volume": 916526.65,
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        "fair_value": 49.652071,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 9.362754,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 56.590348,
        "volume": 710194,
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        "fair_value": 49.786628,
        "relative_strength": -12.387938,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.386524,
        "energy": 19.024843,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 57.128639,
        "volume": 794728,
        "typical_volume": 920003.9,
        "trend": 53.915057,
        "fair_value": 49.920447,
        "relative_strength": -8.820792,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.057137,
        "energy": 43.182733,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 59.491139,
        "volume": 928994,
        "typical_volume": 936039.15,
        "trend": 54.099672,
        "fair_value": 50.068659,
        "relative_strength": -5.167523,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 66.433444,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 60.4,
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        "fair_value": 50.223539,
        "relative_strength": -4.233623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 73.193495,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 56.35,
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        "typical_volume": 1027184.65,
        "trend": 54.391525,
        "fair_value": 50.318895,
        "relative_strength": -7.929956,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.471529,
        "energy": 62.889037,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 54.57,
        "volume": 1895935,
        "typical_volume": 1086203.15,
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        "fair_value": 50.408734,
        "relative_strength": -12.104913,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.428399,
        "energy": 35.539641,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.27,
        "volume": 1376648,
        "typical_volume": 1129257.0,
        "trend": 54.271931,
        "fair_value": 50.486968,
        "relative_strength": -13.169947,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.456939,
        "energy": 14.73797,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.931409,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 55.77,
        "volume": 1147412,
        "typical_volume": 1149934.8,
        "trend": 54.397414,
        "fair_value": 50.572253,
        "relative_strength": -8.864601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.145135,
        "energy": 19.555096,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.516,
          56.334971,
          55.526619,
          54.986508
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.0,
        "volume": 950989,
        "typical_volume": 1159320.35,
        "trend": 54.514347,
        "fair_value": 50.647722,
        "relative_strength": -7.500225,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.027557,
        "energy": 17.829079,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.425333,
          56.28503,
          55.698057,
          55.0899
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 56.21,
        "volume": 1159783,
        "typical_volume": 1176228.05,
        "trend": 54.668396,
        "fair_value": 50.734565,
        "relative_strength": -7.651791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.315388,
        "energy": 13.235919,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.698,
          56.222564,
          55.864092,
          55.199297
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.42,
        "volume": 980448,
        "typical_volume": 1161792.95,
        "trend": 54.834887,
        "fair_value": 50.83986,
        "relative_strength": -6.76151,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.730949,
        "energy": 25.108514,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.716667,
          56.539289,
          56.197651,
          55.441336
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}