{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81d51cdf-5ae4-426e-9af1-28ac9abc5e24", "symbol": "688001", "name": "Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -0.129, "architecture_energy": 25.333, "architecture_maturity": 55.431, "architecture_confidence": 76.012, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.71, "rotation_up": 14.06, "upward_expansion": 42.91, "deceleration": 87.24, "rotation_down": 48.32, "downward_expansion": 36.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.138666, 58.368314, 60.692804, 55.97428 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 51.389999, "trend_reference": 49.225172, "distance_from_trend": 0.043978, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.793406, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.616373, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 27.268034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.567246, "excess_performance": 0.61045, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043978, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.303874, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.616373, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.565458, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.27268, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.618485, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.567246, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.877412, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45990860, "relative_activity": 0.942057, "balance": 0.877412, "dry_up": 1.064029, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.253964, "annualized_volatility": 0.929758, "from_high_reference": -0.453268, "from_low_reference": 0.953992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.225172, "fair_value_reference": 31.793406, "structural_low": 26.299999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.01471, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.010484, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.2067, "worst_return": -0.26283, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.000764, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.011142, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.119111, "worst_return": -0.202464, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.011021, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.099649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.755475, "worst_return": -0.192259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 31.608018, "relative_strength": 29.587259, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.489991, "energy": 21.052986, "activity_lines": [ 59.470947, 65.359956, 62.36652, 56.108561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.18, "volume": 45753532, "typical_volume": 47657720.3, "trend": 48.518172, "fair_value": 31.66829, "relative_strength": 11.086938, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.774024, "energy": 27.009613, "activity_lines": [ 51.956138, 60.884954, 61.16259, 55.789001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.389999, "volume": 45990860, "typical_volume": 48819633.65, "trend": 49.225172, "fair_value": 31.793406, "relative_strength": 27.268034, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.129036, "energy": 25.333189, "activity_lines": [ 50.138666, 58.368314, 60.692804, 55.97428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }