{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81d9e9a8-2ddf-4d4c-bb54-3e6118ca435b", "symbol": "600345", "name": "WuHan Yangtze Communication Industry GroupCo.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 70.669, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.349, "architecture_energy": 34.352, "architecture_maturity": 46.416, "architecture_confidence": 47.015, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.64, "rotation_up": 16.73, "upward_expansion": 19.04, "deceleration": 68.68, "rotation_down": 64.36, "downward_expansion": 41.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.685215, 50.977943, 52.683236, 50.905811 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.290001, "trend_reference": 47.748776, "distance_from_trend": -0.009608, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.001976, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.751353, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 21.135581, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.31617, "excess_performance": 0.359374, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218641, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.751353, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.615464, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.211356, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.436668, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.31617, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.705201, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46552904, "relative_activity": 0.684351, "balance": 0.705201, "dry_up": 0.809621, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171385, "annualized_volatility": 0.788087, "from_high_reference": -0.338485, "from_low_reference": 1.055193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.748776, "fair_value_reference": 27.001976, "structural_low": 34.400002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.030545, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.014903, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.14743, "worst_return": -0.086634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.094888, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.060438, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.504328, "worst_return": -0.112362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.207565, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.168632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.905909, "worst_return": -0.017089, "sufficient": true }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.100388, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.271729, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.024953, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.129093, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.11537, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", 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47.159776, "fair_value": 26.698689, "relative_strength": 16.7567, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.965074, "energy": 14.90922, "activity_lines": [ 51.36231, 54.896061, 54.106267, 51.303073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.040001, "volume": 42966006, "typical_volume": 68722427.55, "trend": 47.327776, "fair_value": 26.826768, "relative_strength": 9.078375, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.29276, "energy": 34.482892, "activity_lines": [ 46.676069, 52.266365, 53.094537, 50.908248 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.290001, "volume": 46552904, "typical_volume": 68024899.5, "trend": 47.748776, "fair_value": 27.001976, "relative_strength": 21.135581, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.349004, "energy": 34.351723, "activity_lines": [ 45.685215, 50.977943, 52.683236, 50.905811 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }