{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81ddf563-2964-4acc-9bd5-d008b119b690", "symbol": "QQQY", "name": "DEFIANCE NASDAQ 100 WEEKLY DISTRIBUTION ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.769, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.425, "architecture_energy": 18.44, "architecture_maturity": 57.726, "architecture_confidence": 80.677, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.24, "rotation_up": 24.11, "upward_expansion": 47.85, "deceleration": 84.57, "rotation_down": 34.23, "downward_expansion": 28.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.265373, 22.390012, 22.473227, 22.019826 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 22.91, "trend_reference": 21.466888, "distance_from_trend": 0.067225, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.478785, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.2398, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.834546, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.13032, "excess_performance": -0.057134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067225, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03406, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.019439, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012921, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052166, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.119674, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.033624, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.001975, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { 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"typical_volume": 717416.9, "trend": 21.323358, "fair_value": 18.4048, "relative_strength": -4.245805, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.557092, "energy": 22.373328, "activity_lines": [ 22.488255, 22.705977, 22.380257, 21.866121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.688084, "volume": 378657, "typical_volume": 703491.65, "trend": 21.354526, "fair_value": 18.426689, "relative_strength": -4.057644, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.448091, "energy": 18.427563, "activity_lines": [ 22.173379, 22.493085, 22.375682, 21.889652 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.861994, "volume": 433048, "typical_volume": 695475.85, "trend": 21.399761, "fair_value": 18.449439, "relative_strength": -3.670962, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.259566, "energy": 14.679856, "activity_lines": [ 22.029961, 22.334327, 22.379378, 21.922392 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.91, "volume": 419229, "typical_volume": 689191.6, "trend": 21.466888, "fair_value": 18.478785, "relative_strength": -3.834546, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.425141, "energy": 18.44037, "activity_lines": [ 22.265373, 22.390012, 22.473227, 22.019826 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }