{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81edf54e-f82b-492d-b83c-5362662b2ed4", "symbol": "6751", "name": "Acer Synergy Tech Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.659, "architecture_energy": 67.945, "architecture_maturity": 40.56, "architecture_confidence": 94.966, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 18.42, "upward_expansion": 14.56, "deceleration": 41.42, "rotation_down": 63.25, "downward_expansion": 87.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.936666, 41.755923, 43.347655, 44.957585 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.450001, "trend_reference": 47.753485, "distance_from_trend": -0.132, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 55.081665, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.247481, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.144233, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.209244, "excess_performance": -0.650616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.132, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060739, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.247481, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01977, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.381442, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.209244, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.688663, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19000, "relative_activity": 0.137569, "balance": 0.688663, "dry_up": 0.302853, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056619, "annualized_volatility": 0.244859, "from_high_reference": -0.379406, "from_low_reference": 0.058748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.753485, "fair_value_reference": 55.081665, "structural_low": 39.150002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.017974, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.694444, "median_excess_return": -0.036151, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.315607, "worst_return": -0.121368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.02965, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.157225, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.546821, "worst_return": -0.244346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.047523, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.271075, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.197688, "worst_return": -0.26675, "sufficient": 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-78.284003, "energy": 81.523423, "activity_lines": [ 41.723333, 43.187383, 44.660577, 46.412825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.549999, "volume": 57000, "typical_volume": 145512.8, "trend": 48.508939, "fair_value": 55.694591, "relative_strength": -38.635483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.590934, "energy": 87.566113, "activity_lines": [ 40.693332, 42.380551, 44.044502, 45.814832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.849998, "volume": 60000, "typical_volume": 142062.8, "trend": 48.078384, "fair_value": 55.359379, "relative_strength": -36.029658, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.044593, "energy": 79.230002, "activity_lines": [ 40.786665, 42.084104, 43.69399, 45.385223 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 41.450001, "volume": 19000, "typical_volume": 138112.3, "trend": 47.753485, "fair_value": 55.081665, "relative_strength": -38.144233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.65901, "energy": 67.94521, "activity_lines": [ 40.936666, 41.755923, 43.347655, 44.957585 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }