{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "81ef4d5d-a9c3-4d66-9985-6d8e18515ea0",
    "symbol": "900948",
    "name": "Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.946,
    "architecture_energy": 72.324,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.691,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.72,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.98,
        "rotation_up": 68.38,
        "upward_expansion": 92.92,
        "deceleration": 46.58,
        "rotation_down": 21.93,
        "downward_expansion": 14.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.818333,
        2.751055,
        2.623041,
        2.460806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.846,
    "trend_reference": 2.239867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.270611,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.63987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.735503,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 41.246308,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.588996,
    "excess_performance": 0.6322,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270611,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176995,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.735503,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121128,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.412463,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1997,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.588996,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.756551,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10344913,
      "relative_activity": 0.845078,
      "balance": 1.756551,
      "dry_up": 0.88441,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057061,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.295261,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013176,
      "from_low_reference": 0.836989
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.239867,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.63987,
      "structural_low": 1.748978,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.039779,
        "positive_rate": 0.758621,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.758621,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052042,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.34499,
        "worst_return": -0.114536,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.165631,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.171965,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.503613,
        "worst_return": -0.050053,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.170704,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.172426,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.917031,
        "worst_return": -0.126677,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.630293,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.447719,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.471088,
        "worst_return": -0.0621,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.033565,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 12567932.7,
        "trend": 2.162319,
        "fair_value": 1.614369,
        "relative_strength": 47.538335,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 64.813909,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.879,
        "volume": 8930113,
        "typical_volume": 12280461.75,
        "trend": 2.202016,
        "fair_value": 1.627217,
        "relative_strength": 48.01335,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.745321,
        "energy": 70.018057,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.784933,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.846,
        "volume": 10344913,
        "typical_volume": 12241363.6,
        "trend": 2.239867,
        "fair_value": 1.63987,
        "relative_strength": 41.246308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.946125,
        "energy": 72.324438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}