{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "81f7278b-faad-4714-a5cc-06b4f9729bc3",
    "symbol": "CARL",
    "name": "Carlsberg A/S",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 68.047,
    "architecture_energy": 70.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.996,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.043,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.46,
        "rotation_up": 73.42,
        "upward_expansion": 89.98,
        "deceleration": 47.99,
        "rotation_down": 13.34,
        "downward_expansion": 14.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        126.393333,
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        119.242619,
        115.33243
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 126.849998,
    "trend_reference": 109.122998,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.16245,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 77.653384,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.633541,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.343862,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.298558,
    "excess_performance": 0.124311,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16245,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129648,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.633541,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072097,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083439,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006082,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.298558,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045754,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.362693,
      "from_high_reference": -0.033524,
      "from_low_reference": 0.688728
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 109.122998,
      "fair_value_reference": 77.653384,
      "structural_low": 88.057,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.028792,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000956,
        "regime_survival": 0.76,
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        "worst_return": -0.079464,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.17776,
        "sufficient": true
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.616805,
        "energy": 66.185086,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.439998,
          109.100685,
          103.145504,
          98.17012
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 114.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 51.7,
        "trend": 93.107997,
        "fair_value": 73.233481,
        "relative_strength": 7.735627,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.897009,
        "energy": 62.389157,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.159998,
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          104.736803,
          99.623773
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 111.300003,
        "volume": 15,
        "typical_volume": 52.45,
        "trend": 94.132948,
        "fair_value": 73.491968,
        "relative_strength": 5.544184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.714208,
        "energy": 55.153739,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.586666,
          111.493369,
          105.896898,
          100.797451
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 117.650002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 52.45,
        "trend": 95.345557,
        "fair_value": 73.819186,
        "relative_strength": 9.504283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.160946,
        "energy": 60.018834,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.400001,
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          107.529593,
          102.31468
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 115.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 49.95,
        "trend": 96.599118,
        "fair_value": 74.137042,
        "relative_strength": 4.492071,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.225025,
        "energy": 52.542648,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.960002,
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          108.753714,
          103.585934
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 109.300003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 47.45,
        "trend": 97.60289,
        "fair_value": 74.417442,
        "relative_strength": 0.701851,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.764091,
        "energy": 40.794493,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.106669,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 112.849998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 47.45,
        "trend": 98.716149,
        "fair_value": 74.70927,
        "relative_strength": 1.489602,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.00629,
        "energy": 37.56601,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.880001,
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          105.389031
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 111.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 47.45,
        "trend": 99.771316,
        "fair_value": 74.998153,
        "relative_strength": -3.338717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.200051,
        "energy": 34.25506,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.336667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 116.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.0,
        "trend": 100.972825,
        "fair_value": 75.310575,
        "relative_strength": 3.424398,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.547155,
        "energy": 38.579886,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.54,
          113.592728,
          111.488714,
          107.325323
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 122.550003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 102.299489,
        "fair_value": 75.679638,
        "relative_strength": 6.067237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.973731,
        "energy": 65.762369,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.676668,
          115.282728,
          112.842723,
          108.717399
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 123.300003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 103.589239,
        "fair_value": 76.054553,
        "relative_strength": 8.228111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.472409,
        "energy": 80.210779,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.563335,
          116.837274,
          114.167085,
          110.072271
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 124.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 104.902671,
        "fair_value": 76.436131,
        "relative_strength": 11.149204,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.600665,
        "energy": 83.922151,
        "activity_lines": [
          121.816667,
          118.421819,
          115.471071,
          111.401998
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 121.650002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 106.1728,
        "fair_value": 76.797786,
        "relative_strength": 7.416503,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.824452,
        "energy": 79.232039,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.463334,
          119.363637,
          116.417312,
          112.482471
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 131.25,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 107.752821,
        "fair_value": 77.237973,
        "relative_strength": 15.662866,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.111564,
        "energy": 89.006609,
        "activity_lines": [
          125.640001,
          121.862728,
          118.13881,
          114.100354
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 126.849998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.5,
        "trend": 109.122998,
        "fair_value": 77.653384,
        "relative_strength": 8.343862,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.046639,
        "energy": 70.338772,
        "activity_lines": [
          126.393333,
          123.314546,
          119.242619,
          115.33243
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}