{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81f7a1c6-d750-4f1f-802d-d1b5d2382918", "symbol": "600725", "name": "Yunnan Yunwei Company Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.159, "architecture_energy": 60.085, "architecture_maturity": 67.966, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 26.82, "upward_expansion": 11.14, "deceleration": 60.68, "rotation_down": 57.13, "downward_expansion": 86.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.168, 3.207636, 3.495952, 3.771161 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.29, "trend_reference": 4.093333, "distance_from_trend": -0.196254, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.310449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006177, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.297945, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.308824, "excess_performance": -0.26562, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.196254, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043614, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.006177, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.3061, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152979, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159641, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.308824, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.344054, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97786553, "relative_activity": 1.252849, "balance": 0.344054, "dry_up": 1.208357, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089783, "annualized_volatility": 0.374134, "from_high_reference": -0.407207, "from_low_reference": 0.122867 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.093333, "fair_value_reference": 3.310449, "structural_low": 2.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.009524, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.005473, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.363636, "worst_return": -0.109792, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.033228, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.028063, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.619048, "worst_return": -0.115727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030891, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.038467, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.47619, "worst_return": -0.056962, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.126774, "energy": 89.30935, "activity_lines": [ 3.163333, 3.381455, 3.711952, 3.964452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.12, "volume": 84310489, "typical_volume": 84853119.35, "trend": 4.157333, "fair_value": 3.305449, "relative_strength": -17.370289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.280417, "energy": 80.447448, "activity_lines": [ 3.138667, 3.298545, 3.62581, 3.895054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.07, "volume": 109779588, "typical_volume": 79945040.35, "trend": 4.123, "fair_value": 3.307436, "relative_strength": -18.849118, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.82581, "energy": 66.597563, "activity_lines": [ 3.115333, 3.224, 3.545286, 3.824903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.29, "volume": 97786553, "typical_volume": 78051320.15, "trend": 4.093333, "fair_value": 3.310449, "relative_strength": -15.297945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.158523, "energy": 60.084774, "activity_lines": [ 3.168, 3.207636, 3.495952, 3.771161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }