{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81fcb20c-e80b-4f3d-a371-64f34405f4e3", "symbol": "8921", "name": "Shen's Art Printing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.143, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.329, "architecture_energy": 20.999, "architecture_maturity": 45.132, "architecture_confidence": 67.197, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.38, "rotation_up": 22.98, "upward_expansion": 11.07, "deceleration": 49.9, "rotation_down": 43.38, "downward_expansion": 48.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.453333, 17.566527, 17.703592, 17.673427 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.450001, "trend_reference": 17.700554, "distance_from_trend": -0.014155, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.212872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041886, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.755374, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.037608, "excess_performance": -0.47898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012719, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.041886, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022425, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035974, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.037608, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.850238, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8000, "relative_activity": 0.366187, "balance": 0.850238, "dry_up": 0.492064, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046507, "annualized_volatility": 0.215331, "from_high_reference": -0.09653, "from_low_reference": 0.093087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.700554, "fair_value_reference": 18.212872, "structural_low": 16.062511, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.003413, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.034359, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.283702, "worst_return": -0.05298, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.020979, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.128584, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.366438, "worst_return": -0.269618, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.010279, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.13193, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.395105, "worst_return": 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"active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.040685, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.024691, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.275654, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.103448, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.10758, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": 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-5.814231, "energy": 7.194785, "activity_lines": [ 17.633632, 17.770458, 17.757674, 17.724008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.65, "volume": 10000, "typical_volume": 21496.75, "trend": 17.709595, "fair_value": 18.14265, "relative_strength": -27.147685, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.172922, "energy": 8.46602, "activity_lines": [ 17.598988, 17.736908, 17.761132, 17.721881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.65, "volume": 6000, "typical_volume": 20946.75, "trend": 17.724737, "fair_value": 18.166007, "relative_strength": -25.360588, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.066549, "energy": 12.936772, "activity_lines": [ 17.583333, 17.70137, 17.762193, 17.718036 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.299999, "volume": 19000, "typical_volume": 21896.75, "trend": 17.716715, "fair_value": 18.189265, "relative_strength": -27.754612, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.163309, "energy": 25.368027, "activity_lines": [ 17.47, 17.611853, 17.726585, 17.690634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 8000, "typical_volume": 21846.75, "trend": 17.700554, "fair_value": 18.212872, "relative_strength": -28.755374, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.32899, "energy": 20.999273, "activity_lines": [ 17.453333, 17.566527, 17.703592, 17.673427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }