{ "ticker": { "uuid": "81fdb208-c2e8-42e7-8cfc-ac8c7e95a77d", "symbol": "AGG", "name": "ISHARES TRUST CORE US AGGREGATE BD ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 63.045, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.688, "architecture_energy": 63.675, "architecture_maturity": 4.629, "architecture_confidence": 84.504, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.43, "rotation_up": 10.19, "upward_expansion": 14.17, "deceleration": 37.4, "rotation_down": 70.35, "downward_expansion": 89.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 97.397537, 97.736949, 97.972994, 98.144067 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 97.6, "trend_reference": 98.372842, "distance_from_trend": -0.007856, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 93.321492, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045847, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.443783, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.012303, "excess_performance": -0.137928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007856, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000717, "read": "Falling" 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"energy": 27.142187, "activity_lines": [ 98.110392, 98.191446, 98.246615, 98.374824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 97.122908, "volume": 33083657, "typical_volume": 43904433.6, "trend": 98.443205, "fair_value": 93.184377, "relative_strength": -8.422817, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.664531, "energy": 57.160466, "activity_lines": [ 97.721579, 98.008986, 98.134904, 98.286883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.033219, "volume": 45090120, "typical_volume": 43958669.0, "trend": 98.403659, "fair_value": 93.249361, "relative_strength": -9.1816, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.304611, "energy": 68.629755, "activity_lines": [ 97.399282, 97.814629, 98.024144, 98.195916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.6, "volume": 53743207, "typical_volume": 44172329.6, "trend": 98.372842, "fair_value": 93.321492, "relative_strength": -11.443783, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.68818, "energy": 63.675483, "activity_lines": [ 97.397537, 97.736949, 97.972994, 98.144067 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }