{ "ticker": { "uuid": "820505f9-1df6-44d2-a829-e12414cbe966", "symbol": "PYPD", "name": "PolyPid", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.69, "architecture_energy": 17.534, "architecture_maturity": 66.489, "architecture_confidence": 86.089, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.32, "rotation_up": 33.97, "upward_expansion": 59.18, "deceleration": 81.85, "rotation_down": 33.66, "downward_expansion": 20.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.602, 4.713455, 4.691667, 4.617226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.84, "trend_reference": 4.542333, "distance_from_trend": 0.065532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.168705, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.161032, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.845439, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.070796, "excess_performance": -0.116657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058654, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.161032, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233927, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.018454, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059962, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.070796, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.688921, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 851794, "relative_activity": 1.091396, "balance": 1.688921, "dry_up": 1.997786, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148986, "annualized_volatility": 0.583964, "from_high_reference": -0.155323, "from_low_reference": 0.581699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.542333, "fair_value_reference": 4.168705, "structural_low": 3.65, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.021655, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.026808, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.183673, "worst_return": -0.798701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.003386, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.128428, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.233983, "worst_return": -0.882305, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.154023, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009678, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.242857, "worst_return": -0.881494, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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4.655075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.9, "volume": 3419782, "typical_volume": 719154.05, "trend": 4.537667, "fair_value": 4.251737, "relative_strength": -12.994383, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.345919, "energy": 13.213552, "activity_lines": [ 4.764, 4.780909, 4.697286, 4.61357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.29, "volume": 915646, "typical_volume": 754326.2, "trend": 4.535667, "fair_value": 4.204987, "relative_strength": -4.832602, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.49445, "energy": 10.025323, "activity_lines": [ 4.576, 4.690545, 4.668524, 4.597591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.84, "volume": 851794, "typical_volume": 780462.6, "trend": 4.542333, "fair_value": 4.168705, "relative_strength": 1.845439, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.689661, "energy": 17.534443, "activity_lines": [ 4.602, 4.713455, 4.691667, 4.617226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }