{ "ticker": { "uuid": "82059ac7-8109-43e4-a44b-3ce8feeb3831", "symbol": "SEDG", "name": "SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 80.534, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -44.423, "architecture_energy": 49.252, "architecture_maturity": 55.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.418, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.35, "rotation_up": 14.08, "upward_expansion": 20.02, "deceleration": 58.06, "rotation_down": 70.33, "downward_expansion": 45.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.989999, 40.958181, 44.096404, 42.702978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.5, "trend_reference": 39.742666, "distance_from_trend": -0.282887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.560359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.297343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.213532, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.036999, "excess_performance": -0.211246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.282887, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162911, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.297343, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097557, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.332135, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.361874, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.036999, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.636742, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2164, "relative_activity": 1.655194, "balance": 0.636742, "dry_up": 1.294172, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.254386, "annualized_volatility": 0.992042, "from_high_reference": -0.544, "from_low_reference": 0.349751 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.742666, "fair_value_reference": 40.560359, "structural_low": 28.235001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.0904, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.164132, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.665198, "worst_return": -0.416581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.021401, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.090738, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.188245, "worst_return": -0.162996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.038721, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.26854, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.844892, "worst_return": -0.039883, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 11.99805, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.855991, "energy": 23.657725, "activity_lines": [ 46.993332, 49.517272, 47.048666, 43.714935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.299999, "volume": 2352, "typical_volume": 1691.75, "trend": 39.400667, "fair_value": 42.282923, "relative_strength": -7.448493, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.375109, "energy": 15.31006, "activity_lines": [ 43.936665, 47.170908, 46.494833, 43.670957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.599998, "volume": 1182, "typical_volume": 1510.35, "trend": 39.703, "fair_value": 41.406769, "relative_strength": -14.138045, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.680869, "energy": 25.325419, "activity_lines": [ 40.813332, 44.542726, 45.641999, 43.425752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.5, "volume": 2164, "typical_volume": 1307.4, "trend": 39.742666, "fair_value": 40.560359, "relative_strength": -33.213532, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -44.423022, "energy": 49.25151, "activity_lines": [ 35.989999, 40.958181, 44.096404, 42.702978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }