{ "ticker": { "uuid": "820704a9-5e56-4262-aaa6-0a9220f6e8b8", "symbol": "603444", "name": "G-bits Network Technology (Xiamen) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -0.693, "architecture_energy": 11.02, "architecture_maturity": 18.356, "architecture_confidence": 69.724, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.25, "rotation_up": 35.76, "upward_expansion": 32.32, "deceleration": 45.7, "rotation_down": 18.16, "downward_expansion": 42.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 370.38867, 360.817273, 359.169503, 365.39739 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 382.670013, "trend_reference": 381.179785, "distance_from_trend": 0.00391, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 285.840503, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.338754, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.56068, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.143372, "excess_performance": -0.100168, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00391, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06491, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.338754, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004443, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065607, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014127, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143372, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843936, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11215870, "relative_activity": 1.374204, "balance": 0.843936, "dry_up": 1.411113, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074265, "annualized_volatility": 0.311981, "from_high_reference": -0.408373, "from_low_reference": 0.198003 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 381.179785, "fair_value_reference": 285.840503, "structural_low": 320.609985, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.030337, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.038895, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.1747, "worst_return": -0.166576, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.135475, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.06267, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.456988, "worst_return": -0.231461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.028582, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016656, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.600679, "worst_return": -0.509959, "sufficient": false 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"trend": 387.160719, "fair_value": 286.058175, "relative_strength": -12.480186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.182403, "energy": 24.709701, "activity_lines": [ 349.800663, 346.245864, 355.59244, 367.535462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 347.799988, "volume": 9278257, "typical_volume": 7511695.55, "trend": 383.504164, "fair_value": 285.742102, "relative_strength": -11.97037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.036045, "energy": 21.790189, "activity_lines": [ 349.983327, 346.333815, 354.27501, 364.99606 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 389.350006, "volume": 13715417, "typical_volume": 7884849.05, "trend": 382.295238, "fair_value": 285.747554, "relative_strength": -2.190719, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.294833, "energy": 10.56646, "activity_lines": [ 362.572664, 354.494179, 357.07607, 365.373211 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 382.670013, "volume": 11215870, "typical_volume": 8161718.65, "trend": 381.179785, "fair_value": 285.840503, "relative_strength": -6.56068, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.693492, "energy": 11.020002, "activity_lines": [ 370.38867, 360.817273, 359.169503, 365.39739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }