{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8208a0e6-ade9-4d67-b2bb-cc4943ca93d5", "symbol": "603311", "name": "Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.916, "architecture_energy": 23.695, "architecture_maturity": 81.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.001, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.72, "rotation_up": 19.86, "upward_expansion": 54.08, "deceleration": 91.15, "rotation_down": 45.26, "downward_expansion": 24.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.080104, 29.309593, 29.152281, 26.575679 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.549999, "trend_reference": 23.143205, "distance_from_trend": 0.276833, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.649545, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.336052, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 61.77176, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.820702, "excess_performance": 0.863906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.276833, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.372914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.336052, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243354, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.617718, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031428, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.820702, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.855866, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26860142, "relative_activity": 0.650704, "balance": 0.855866, "dry_up": 0.785708, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183586, "annualized_volatility": 0.815681, "from_high_reference": -0.311189, "from_low_reference": 1.779868 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.143205, "fair_value_reference": 12.649545, "structural_low": 14.16, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.033516, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.010722, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.174274, "worst_return": -0.133103, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.044889, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.050012, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.265794, "worst_return": -0.072614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.137881, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.115141, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.470324, "worst_return": -0.073204, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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33.130144, 33.5922, 28.796517, 25.492314 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.635418, "volume": 31139700, "typical_volume": 40836434.25, "trend": 21.928839, "fair_value": 12.350007, "relative_strength": 47.987021, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.419859, "energy": 26.573898, "activity_lines": [ 29.852633, 32.233553, 28.789606, 25.694686 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.590971, "volume": 44433000, "typical_volume": 41763087.9, "trend": 22.349205, "fair_value": 12.439808, "relative_strength": 49.456954, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.00096, "energy": 27.835619, "activity_lines": [ 27.818611, 31.020726, 28.83434, 25.930953 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.459999, "volume": 27298887, "typical_volume": 41915417.25, "trend": 22.667538, "fair_value": 12.531316, "relative_strength": 45.874108, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.387048, "energy": 25.567195, "activity_lines": [ 26.503533, 29.738796, 28.821692, 26.131649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.549999, "volume": 26860142, "typical_volume": 41278599.35, "trend": 23.143205, "fair_value": 12.649545, "relative_strength": 61.77176, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.915831, "energy": 23.69532, "activity_lines": [ 27.080104, 29.309593, 29.152281, 26.575679 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }