{ "ticker": { "uuid": "8216ceb5-5902-435d-ad3c-cdb3f8879b1c", "symbol": "OS", "name": "Officina Stellare S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.052, "architecture_energy": 57.899, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.447, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.56, "rotation_up": 49.3, "upward_expansion": 84.98, "deceleration": 68.31, "rotation_down": 29.64, "downward_expansion": 11.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.153334, 45.96, 42.88381, 38.663656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 46.200001, "trend_reference": 33.613333, "distance_from_trend": 0.374455, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.157564, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.69269, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 45.023861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.848, "excess_performance": 0.677108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.374455, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.302169, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.69269, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.407595, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.450239, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029586, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.848, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.4125, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28000, "relative_activity": 0.513408, "balance": 4.4125, "dry_up": 0.523722, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075924, "annualized_volatility": 0.476379, "from_high_reference": -0.074148, "from_low_reference": 2.323741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.613333, "fair_value_reference": 17.157564, "structural_low": 22.200001, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.960242, "energy": 89.506329, "activity_lines": [ 45.679999, 41.4, 34.803809, 31.779785 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 46.5, "volume": 3000, "typical_volume": 51075.0, "trend": 29.16, "fair_value": 15.801154, "relative_strength": 69.849375, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.932601, "energy": 84.252377, "activity_lines": [ 46.159999, 43.070909, 36.315714, 32.954194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 44.599998, "volume": 31250, "typical_volume": 51262.5, "trend": 29.933333, "fair_value": 16.020385, "relative_strength": 55.466082, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.559975, "energy": 66.747503, "activity_lines": [ 45.566666, 44.027272, 37.544286, 33.950322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.700001, "volume": 60250, "typical_volume": 53475.0, "trend": 30.736667, "fair_value": 16.250513, "relative_strength": 60.503316, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.355757, "energy": 67.134101, "activity_lines": [ 45.866666, 45.052727, 38.873809, 35.032043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.799999, "volume": 36250, "typical_volume": 54175.0, "trend": 31.49, "fair_value": 16.46782, "relative_strength": 53.522151, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.326054, "energy": 61.900491, "activity_lines": [ 45.573333, 45.374545, 39.919047, 35.939355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.799999, "volume": 24250, "typical_volume": 53912.5, "trend": 32.256667, "fair_value": 16.69282, "relative_strength": 54.428934, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.451625, "energy": 56.972047, "activity_lines": [ 45.599999, 45.658181, 40.96619, 36.86258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.900002, "volume": 25750, "typical_volume": 54287.5, "trend": 32.926667, "fair_value": 16.927436, "relative_strength": 54.147831, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.930332, "energy": 60.703579, "activity_lines": [ 46.006667, 45.936363, 42.012381, 37.807312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.200001, "volume": 28000, "typical_volume": 54537.5, "trend": 33.613333, "fair_value": 17.157564, "relative_strength": 45.023861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.05185, "energy": 57.899107, "activity_lines": [ 46.153334, 45.96, 42.88381, 38.663656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }